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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sharp_End_Of_Drill who wrote (15875)8/8/2002 2:21:47 AM
From: kodiak_bull  Respond to of 23153
 
Nothing scientific to add on the VIX, but the couple of times I watched it signal there was generally several trading days before the perfect time to buy emerged. Late Dec 2000 (buy), early Feb 2001 (sell) and late March 2001 (buy) come to mind:

stockcharts.com[w,a]dbllyiay[d20000807,20010807][pf][vc60][iut][J4230851,Y]&pref=G

At the time I was watching it quite closely and the signals generally happened and there was about 7 trading days for you to get yourself situated (about a week and a half) for the perfect bottom/top.

Now, in the present, I think we've just about run out of lag time following the signal:

stockcharts.com[w,a]dbllyiay[pf][vc60][iut][J4230851,Y]&pref=G

Also, given the grinding nature of the selloff this time and the trajectory of the spike, it's possible that the lag time (my name for it, btw) was seriously shortened or non-existent. Participants for this summer rally should have their positions now, I think.

Kb