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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wally Mastroly who wrote (1937)8/8/2002 1:02:39 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
Wally: I think net-net, it is a non-issue. I think it is just being paraded about as a old sales pitch. Unfortunately, healing time is all that will work given what we have seen so far.



To: Wally Mastroly who wrote (1937)8/9/2002 12:04:45 PM
From: Wally Mastroly  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
Speaking of 'rate cuts', Morgan Stanley bucks the trend:


Morgan economists buck the trend, see half-point cut when
Fed meets Tuesday.
August 9, 2002: 10:03 AM EDT
By Justin Lahart, CNN/Money Staff Writer

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Bucking the trend among Wall Street
economists, Morgan Stanley's Richard Berner and David Greenlaw
said Friday they expect the Federal Open Market Committee to cut
the federal funds rate by a half-point to 1.25 percent when it
meets next week.

Berner and Greenlaw note that the stock market's sharp deterioration over
the last two months and worries over corporate governance have taken a
toll on businesses and consumers. Recent reports have suggested weakness
on both fronts. Meanwhile, there are increased worries over systemic risk in
capital markets. Companies' access to capital, particular in the corporate
bond arena, has tightened considerably over the last month.

Morgan Stanley is the only one of the 22 firms that deal directly with the Fed
that expects a cut.

A cut, according to Berner and Greenlaw, would be insurance against a
double-dip recession.

"If we are wrong and the Fed does not change rates next Tuesday, we
expect officials to ease by the Sept. 24 FOMC meeting," they wrote.
"Additional ease is possible if economic weakness spreads."