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To: AllansAlias who wrote (49601)8/9/2002 12:42:10 AM
From: Paul Shread  Respond to of 209892
 
I'm more interested in finding out how deep the retest will be in non-tech. We haven't come very close yet, 7-8% on the Dow and S&P.

Which trendline are you using for your BKX hound signal?

cache.wsrn.com

Couple of downtrend lines here for the BKX:

cache.wsrn.com

And congrats on buying the bottom.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (49601)8/9/2002 12:45:09 AM
From: marginmike  Respond to of 209892
 
seriously lighten up, we are just comeserating in the fact that mentaly we were right and yet werent nearly as agresive as we should have been. I was right but I sold out Mon morn, and left 60-80K on th table. I am trying to figure out if I should just jump in or wait for a pullback. Your thoughts?



To: AllansAlias who wrote (49601)8/9/2002 1:11:35 AM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Actually, as you know, I've come far more round to your way of thinking than you have to mine. I had thought the tech low was likely in as well, and the NDX already ruined that. And I've now upped my chances for new non-tech lows as well, though as each day passes, I revert more to my original thought. Although if we're clearing the air, I must admit I did get tired of you screaming "SHORT NON-TECH!! IT'S GOING TO DA BASEMENT!" over and over again since July 24th <g>

How to trade this? Like I know? The stocks I've been watching have all tried to break negative patterns or risen back over support. But none are convincingly "fixed" yet. QCOM keeps setting slightly higher lows here and closing over that 24.9 area. QLGC is still dealing with the September uptrend line. It closed over it. . . and closed AH under it. MXIM we've talked about. SYMC and INTU threaten to break, but then leap up. MSFT still in a triangle, but seems to be gaining technical strength. Etc. So honestly, I don't know what to do other than to watch them and either add new trades on a breakout or down, or close trades as appropriate on a break up or down. And oh yeah. . . a new COT report tomorrow. More covering there would be a pretty darn big signal, seems to me, so I'll be looking for that, too.

As for new set-ups, I propose AMGN. To my eye, it's building a wedge after a wee gap up over 40. Further, that wedge may be in a bigger bear flag off the biotech July 15 low. My guess is that Biotech is in for at least a retrace OR it's finished its full correction (or damn close). I'm looking in the bio world for other promising setups.

Now I sleep.

the freep



To: AllansAlias who wrote (49601)8/9/2002 1:28:19 AM
From: Dana Johnson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
I have no claims to fame... there are a few point and figure charts that suggest we are at an important decision point. These indices are at resistance:

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

Nasdaq is looking weak but well below resistance:

stockcharts.com

I think that the action tomorrow will tell us a lot about the dow and the broader market. Since the trend is down, I am expecting a reversal...

dana