To: ralfph who wrote (2732 ) 8/10/2002 1:55:54 PM From: marcos Respond to of 8273 ' Money Supply & The Federal Reserve ' - #Subject-53221 ... new thread from Cush, some thought provoking posters there already ... if from post 3 - #reply-17855712 - you load the Next 10, you get about an hour and a half's worth of reading, the poster glenn has typed in excerpts from Carol Quigley's book 'Tragedy and Hope' ... i found this highly interesting, it takes you through a number of historical periods, gives a sense of continuity, perspective cae.to - wow - stockcharts.com - that's a breakdown, what's happening ... where is your entry? ... i know little about them now ... here's the most recent stockwatch release, wee hours friday morning - ' Globe says CAE stock slide not a simulation CAE Inc CAE Shares issued 216,600,000 Aug 8 2002 close $ 7.76 Friday August 9 2002 In the News The Globe and Mail reports in its Friday, Aug. 9, edition that CAE tumbled again Thursday, shedding $1.12 to finish at $7.76 on the Toronto Stock Exchange. The Globe's Caroline Alphonso writes that CAE stock declined 10.5 per cent on Wednesday after the firm released first quarter results that fell shy of analysts' estimates. Octagon Capital analyst Jacques Kavafian lowered his recommendation to "buy" from "strong buy," while reducing his 12-month target price to $15 from $21. UBS Warburg analyst Peter Rozenberg also lowered his target price to $9.50 from $10.50 per share and maintained his "hold" rating on the stock. While Mr. Rozenberg said the long-term outlook for CAE is attractive, however, "current earnings risks remain high due to soft market conditions." Like Mr. Rozenberg, Raymond James analyst Ben Cherniavsky has a positive outlook for CAE over the long term, adding that the company is making the right strategic decisions. However, the hard-hit airline industry will likely put pressure on CAE over the next 12 to 18 months, he said. The analyst also lowered his target price to $10.50 from $14.50. He has an "outperform" recommendation. (c) Copyright 2002 Canjex Publishing Ltd. stockwatch.com ' Is this the CAE that was [or is] big in sawmill engineering, makes edgers and planers and sets up whole mill systems? ..... also pulpmills, plywood mills, etc .... probably is, i should go to their website and see if they have a company history page, because it's likely the same outfit that used to do business out here as CAE Morse, they had the International Harvester machinery franchise .... they didn't handle it well, in the sixties they had excellent machines in the TD15 and TD25 classes [and a history of quality going back to the old TD9s], dozers that beat Caterpillar on a number of points, yet they didn't provide good dealer support, while Finning did for Cat .... this is how i became a John Deere man - it opened up opportunity for another Cat competitor, so there started up the predecessors of what became Coast Tractor, who tended to be great at dealer support, and some of them were exceptionally good, as was CT in later years .... it just got bought out by Brandt, btw, i hear, don't know much about that yet ..... none of this means much to CAE now, of course ngt/xcl - got to review my opinion that they should trade parallel, i guess -g- .... sure does show the effects of financing dynamics though eh ..... National is going to be rolling soon though, while X-Cal waits on the PoG ... advantages and disadvantages in each approach .... but in both cases, they have got the metal, and blue sky too