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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: D. Long who wrote (36819)8/10/2002 7:37:23 AM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
Like economic sanctions brought down Castro?

Castro has not been a threat to anyone since the early 70s or late 60s.



To: D. Long who wrote (36819)8/10/2002 4:03:22 PM
From: SirRealist  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
Do you really expect Saddaam to use 1, mebbe 2 nukes (IF he can develop 'em) on us? Or on Israel (wiping out Palestine and neighboring Arab lands)? The only place he might strategically be able to use it would be on SA, but that'd merely unite Arab leaders against him, as well as certain US pulverization of his sorry butt.

That's a major point: if he has that, where can he use it non-suicidally? I think the other WMDs, which can be contained within smaller site-specific areas, make more sense.

I agree that Russia and France pose sanction problems, but would rank Iran and China higher than Syria. Yet I believe al would be more willing to negotiate to prevent a US attack on Iraq except Russia, because it could gain most from the resulting oil crisis. Right now, though, Russia might play nice as it seeks a bigger role in trade globalization and inclusion in NATO.

Cuba's a good example though. Even though Castro hasn't been eliminated, he's toothless and only his own are being hurt by him now. That'd be acceptable with Saddaam, to me.