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Strategies & Market Trends : Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. Pink who wrote (16879)8/11/2002 12:44:45 PM
From: benchpress550  Respond to of 18998
 
Strike 1
Beacause of the drought conditions in the mid west, they are going to big time bagholders in their two business units.
Below data is an example what drought does to the demand of price of horses from Corsica horse sales in south Dakota.
corsicahorsesale.com
The reason why i used this data is usually the horse market does not move that much compared to cattle markets or crop markets. Also, the data was easy for me to find and I can get my point arcoss very quick.
June 16/17, 2002
Top Sale Horse....$6500
Top 5 Average... .$4110
Top 10 Average....$3375
Top 25 Average......$2448
Top ¼ of Sale Avg... .$2326
March 17/18, 2002
Top Sale Horse - $10,000
Top 5 Average - 7,870
Top 10 Average - 5,955
Top 25 Average - 4,071
Top 50 Average - 3,000
Top ¼ of sale - $3,200
They did not have july sales figures posted in this format because they sucked. But here is a couple of lines that came from their sales report.
"Drought conditions in a big area of the U.S. playing a part on people buying up the younger, plainer horses for future prospects. If you are in area with greener pastures & hay on hand, now might be the time to think about picking up some bargains for down the road profit."

Strike 2
Looks like IGL and CNC business plans are kissing cousins.

Strike 3
Look at what the whore houses are saying
29-Jul-02 Goldman Sachs upgrade: from Mkt Outperform
to Recomm List
Salomon Smth Brny upgrade: from Neutral
to Outperform