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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Boca_PETE who wrote (5050)	8/11/2002 2:42:14 PM
From: Cactus Jack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 30712

< "The average time it took for bear markets to recover since 1945 is 21 months long," Valentine says. "It also tells you that the recovery period is not a function of how long the market went into a slide phase. Just because we're down a lot doesn't mean we won't be setting new highs in the next few years."> I wonder why this writer so adamently sticks to the time period since 1945 to support his thesis; the same would not hold true for 1929.

To: Boca_PETE who wrote (5050)	8/11/2002 9:37:33 PM
From: Jeff	Respond to of 30712

the end game if its like 32 will be death by a thousand cuts....the slow bleed....and it won't come when folks expect it like in the dead of summer or the normal october slump.... nope....to wipe out the most folks the killing field comes in the strongest historic market months when folks are loading up..... timing out the retrace scenario the killing field is a slow bleed for the first 2 or 3 months of 2003.....once it bottoms and ramps.....retest 6- months later to a higher low to mark a major bottom..... most experts are trying to compare this to all the past markets except the one its following.....the 29-32 period... thats why we called this all the way down here....we are using the right model....and thats why i don't listen to anything but the retrace.....its the only thing that doesn't lie....