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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (65289)8/12/2002 8:45:09 AM
From: Paul V.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
gottfried, Brian, Synder, Cary and threaders >Do you have an opinion or strategy to deal with this possibility?<

As Tom Dorsey would tell you he can not project what is ahead but they only track what the demand and supply tells then. They constiantly set stops depending on the risk tolerance of the investor, ie 8-10% as per IBD, 20-30 percent on less risk tolerance individuals. If I recall correctly, Tom states to sell stock as it moves up in price in 1/3 for each 50% price growth in order to take profits. Wish I had done so in the past.

The only records we would have would be going back to the prices of AMAT from the Historical prices on Yahoo, and other sources of Data and Charts. From 1990 we do have the BTB data that we orginally obtained a few years ago and the Data on lows and highs which I sent you on the DW chart patterns on the lows of the DW NYSE, OTC, 10week, bpoptions, and high/lows.

In summarization, I have difficulty, based on what Greenspan stated to the House and the Senate regarding the importance of technology and Dent's book on "Roaring 2000" regarding Baby Boomers, that we will be in a secular bear market for 20 years as some have projected. IMO, there is just two much technological and biogenetic advancements along with the Pacific Rim growth and increased productivity.

Just my opinions.

Do you have added charting or data we can review.

Paul



To: Gottfried who wrote (65289)8/12/2002 9:39:53 AM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
>> It might mean AMAT goes to 20 and then we ride it down to 11.

Gottfried, How about one thing at a time. What would prompt people to buy AMAT at 20, when they are reluctant to do that at 13 ?

I can only think of a combination of rising earnings, rising revenues, and rising bookings. Without these, it makes no sense for anyone to buy it even at 13.

So we are going to get a glimpse of all these on Wednesday.

But from what other related companies have said in their Q reports, there might be a positive direction, but there is no strong trend yet.

So If AMAT gets to 20 on these ambiguous signals, I would sell. If it gets to 20 on a clear rising trend in the visible fundamentals, then I'd hold or increase.

Sarmad



To: Gottfried who wrote (65289)8/12/2002 10:32:42 PM
From: StanX Long  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 70976
 
"OT"
But sometime we just need to smile, Stan.

What's the difference between a pigeon and a stockbroker?
A: The pigeon can still make a deposit on a BMW.

Merrill Lynch has adjusted its investment portfolio: 50% cash and 50% canned goods.

Bumper sticker on Wall Street: My other Porsche is for sale.

How many investment bankers can you fit in the back of a pickup truck?
Only 2 - you have to leave room for the lawn mowers!

I have an uncle down at Wall Street. He used to have a corner on the market. -- Now he has a market on the corner.

"Get my broker, Miss Jones."
"Yes sir. Stock, or Pawn?"

Q: In these busy market times, how can you get the attention of your broker?
A: Say, "Hey, waiter!"

Q: How do you get a broker down from a tree?
A: Cut the rope.

Just received this from my broker. I normally don't pass stock tips on, but I thought this exception would be okay. If you hold any of the following stocks, you may want to review:
--American Can Co.
--Interstate Water Co.
--National Gas Co.
--Northern Tissue Co.

Due to the uncertain market conditions, at this present time, we advise you to sit tight on your American Can, hold your Water, and let go of your Gas.

You may be interested to know that Northern Tissue touched a new bottom today, and millions were wiped clean....