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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: paul_philp who wrote (4447)8/13/2002 3:49:05 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
your article: most thought provoking I have read in years
I found your many points to be fascinating and irrefutable
not to mention so very timely, when many wonder about waste
the timeframe for realization of the newly fertilized seedbeds is in question
just like after a devastating forest fire, the nutrients in the soil are beyond question to be perfect for renewed growth

in 1999, I read Geoffrey Moore's Gorilla Game
the extended technology and discontinuous technology concepts are fascinating
too bad we develop these great advancements within such horribly tainted (if not crippled) financial system

no question that technology leaves much behind for the next phase of economic growth and efficiency
but our financial system is in tatters, and to get worse
it may be a few years before the environment is ripe for germination

we disagree on Vienna School, fine
if Vienna is off, then explain why the last 10 years have been the most tumultuous in the history of the financial world
we are not climaxing, only to recover
we are experiencing escalating earthquakes, only to build to crescendo

the next few months will convince you that von Mises and Richebacher possess the more accurate view of the financial landscape, despite their austerity
the insanity of the last 20 years with printed fiat currency has now developed into a problem that will take a great deal of time, pain, liquidation, repair of balance sheets, restoration of appropriate spending patterns, return to sane credit usage, and renewal

but my guess is that controlling political forces will interfere to screw it up more than it already is, as they desperate attempt to forestall the inevitable economic contraction with turmoil that awaits us
every attempt by Greenspam to avert troubles have resulted in sheer shifting of bubbles

watch the dollar, and observe the absolute wreckage ahead
how is the wreckage so far?
Viennese predicted this wreck for a while now
the dollar is flawed
the banking system is flawed with fractional nature
foreign banking systems are flawed with USTBonds replacing gold
the CB gold leasing system is flawed in its entirety
extended credit represents a level of financial insanity never witnessed on earth before
the critical Venture Capital world has virtually disappeared
the entire lending credit world is at a standstill

this will be interesting
but in the meantime, after the balance sheets are repaired (willingly or by force), we have much to expect with the seeds of future technology in place
I just happen to believe the seedbed will be torched more than you do
nothing like a worldwide banking and currency crisis to convince you
stay tuned, we are only about 15-20% along the path

dont you find it disturbing and disconcerting that the very technology you refer to in your article is mired within the largest scale bankruptcy, liquidation, and excess capacity environment and controversy in our nation's history ???
fast growing tech firms are perhaps the most abusive with extension of credit, reporting of pro-forma profits, abuse of dilutive stock options, and more

the very companies with vast advantages in technology prowess are caught in a web of financial accounting deceit
the majority of culpable parties are New Economy
plenty are tagalongs within telecom, etc
but I could rattle off 20 names of companies, all of whom have subverted their technological intellectual property with massive financial fraud, deception, and credit abuse
such financial practice is the opposite of what innovators would seek

I just wish the competence you display in technology evolution was matched in our financial leadership
if you cheat technology, the device just wont function
if you cheat financially, then the masses are cheated of their life savings, and the system risks implosion over time

I watch with a strange combination of eagerness, horror, and glee
/ jim