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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ibexx who wrote (83375)8/17/2002 10:23:19 AM
From: Casaubon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
it did the same thing in Oct 2001.



To: Ibexx who wrote (83375)8/19/2002 12:26:14 AM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Ibexx, i'm seeing that and both summation indexes have crossed their 20 dma a week or two ago, these crossovers have worked perfectly during the v bottoms we've had during the last year, and they've worked decently for the tops too, but the tops have taken long to form.

We had sentiment indicators and momentum indicators that met or exceeded the level of grimdom at 9/22, however it's quite possible that a full or partial retest may be in order many averages are showing rising wedges into resistance, and you have to give the bear the edge since all the major and minor trends are down.

bkx wedgie
stockcharts.com

indu wedgie
stockcharts.com

not sure if history will repeat this fractal, but in 98 we had a rising zig/zaggy flag, the summation index turned up sharply, we had a 90% upside day only a few days after the 8/31 bottom (just like this time), the flag rallied into the h&s top and retested to bottom, the snp and nas made new lows.

stockcharts.com

and it is still summer and people haven't started to shop for halloween yet -g-, i can't decide whether to get a kenneth lay mask or a bernie ebbers mask, which one do you think is scarier -g-

the cyclical stocks are sporting a big triangle, could break either way
stockcharts.com[w,a]dbclyiay[p][vc60]&pref=G

citigroup looks like it had one pushed down from the jan top, then three pushes down from the march top, it looks like this is a 4th wave rising wedge, no other index chart looks exactly like this, and it's impossible to get any kind of clean elliot count on this stuff
stockcharts.com[w,a]dbclyiay[dd][pb50!a35.5][vc60]&pref=G

maybe a martha stewart mask, trick or insider treat -g-