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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pogbull who wrote (4730)8/18/2002 12:27:33 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
Mauldin Letter comes to my work email over the weekend
fascinating read, as usual
Mauldin should be Head of Council of Econ Advisors
instead, we have a Harvard School of Thought dumbfuch

I dont know why Mauldin continually relies on CPI as a measure of ANYTHING meaningful or worth of discussion
the Cleveland Ded Medium CPI is superior
CPI measures what the USGovt wants it to measure:
goods & services from the oversupplied overproduced marketplace

he points out the risk of policymaking error
this is huge imho
just look at the Hoover-like trade barriers imposed

I dont fully understand Bill Passes
since last autumn I expected STAGFLATION one way or another
we in the USofA inventing reflation
debt collapse, broken bubbles, pulled plug on capital markets... combined with the world's heaviest monetary printing presses

it all adds up (by whatever path) to either STAGFLATION or INFLATIONARY RECESSION
but for a while, some deflation
the trouble with our current economic policymaking process is that they have delayed AND faulty statistical data
so policy reaction will be slow as hell

the other challenge is shedding so many heretical, political, and downright incorrect economic beliefs

glad to read that Mauldin talks about the flood of money circulating in the world, esp its black markets
he touched barely the surface of the point that during our extreme monetary expansion period we saw no inflation
instead, we exported that inflation

now with the decline in the USDollar, we import it back
that is the biggest reason in my little mind why deflation will be subdued
if the dollar declines too much, we have a certain
INFLATIONARY RECESSION
not much different from stagflation, just a few more negative GDP quarters
/ jim