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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: j g cordes who wrote (43114)	8/18/2002 6:59:45 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF	Respond to of 50167

<<Exactly what i implied. All this may accelerate Bush's plans if he perceives his window of opportunity shrinking.>> I agree with you totally , these silly games will only expedite the resolve.. Typical cheap politics of ‘personal survival’ that characterises and is a hallmark of Saddam rule of Iraq, does he has a choice to rule a country that has from Qassim to Aref drag the bodies of their leaders on street, even Muslim history attests to the fact that Kufans are to be least of the trusted. Hussien the grandson of the Prophet of Islam was callously murdered by the Kufans at Karbela, that betrayal story is the classic tragedy of Muslim history and forms the basis of the greatest schism within Islam the Shiites and the Sunnis. Sometime traits of disloyalty plays an important role in making of nation psyche and its leadership, Iraqis survival instincts based on a totalitarian system are acute and hence its ability to gas its own people, the attack on Iran that killed thousands and invasion and occupation of Kuwait. Underlying features of all this is murderous zeal and disregard of humanity basic ideals of respect of life, the on and off story of inspectors to oversee weapons of mass destruction and their supervisions is result of such idiotic policies that have left Iraq politically unanchored with no moorings of any kind. Now open bribery and open-ended contracts of billions may attract the Russian, this is a bait for Putin and Iraqi diplomats are master of exaggeration!! ( by the way they call the defeat in Kuwait as mother of all victories) but who has the money and who will buy Iraqi oil that will pay the 60 billion’s for Russians? In North and south the oil infrastructure is at the mercy of the forces that enforce non-flying zones, the land locked country Saddam runs has little options, as a sanctuary of terrorists it has a potential of mass production and hence should be neutralised. Talebani and other Iraqis in the mainstream OPPOSITION have rather more political clout then Karzai, the fall of Baghdad will mean the fall of Iraq’s Saddam and its puppet Republican guards that is what they fear the most, it is not a popularly elected government ad it has no moral authority, a government imposed by the barrel of the gun will like Talebin removal be welcomed by majority of the people on ground, the liberal lamentations aside this is in my opinion a feasible goal, the fall of Kabul led to fall of Kandahar and whole of Afghanistan rather elimination of Talebin, fall of Baghdad in all likelihood will be even more rapidly may a smaller 50,000 team will do the job, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain are most likely partners. Naturally Saddam represents now that Arab face of resistance to US ‘imperialism’ as such has some support in the street of even Kuwait and Jeddah but Cadillac and Merc owners only can talk about their political preferences or maximum insert the dagger from the back, as such in all honesty I just don’t see political will or clout that may save dictator like Saddam I will not be surprised that it will not be Russians experts but US experts turning Baghdad in next few months or early next year. That troubles Putin too, the have this sense of encirclement since Peter the great days, with US ruling supreme in the Oxus and CIS states practically in the pocket of the new anti terrorist alliance, the neutralisation of Iraq and a pro US government in Iraq is rather too much to digest for suppose ‘to be’ and ‘would be super powers’ of the region that includes India, Russia and China, this is their backyard and as such global unanimity to handle Iraq on terms what US wants is missing, they also know the opposition in Iraq the alternate leadership in case of Saddam removal is very pro American. The regional powers do not want to yield to US in their own backyard hence may be a UN consensus may never be forged to get Iraq’s Saddam, it is not Iraqis that Us is after it is the cable that has characters of possible sanctuary of terror those sanctuaries where nations can supervise terror networks are being asked with us or against us, on that test Pakistan chickened and decided to cut its ties with nest of terror like Talebin and orthodox deranged organisations, Iraqis need to do exactly that, either be a part of the stone age nation or if they are connected cyber age nation they cannot use the facility to launch massive terror attacks and still be a part of the connected world that is the test on which nations would have to conduct themselves. That is the new test of conformity and most of the Middle East will have to go through the pangs of the new birth of order. This is the beginning of the end and we call see it all coming nice and clear. It is nice that we can wrote our wildest of ideas here otherwise no sensible person or newspaper is ready to take these kind of stuff, we are making projections that are private but shall come true. Our thinking has got a small canvass that is not important the ability to read the events as they develop is far better than just reporting them, we try to analyse them and have than the benefit if hindsight to revisit our projections. This small stage helps us do that, for that we are ever grateful, even my own editor will accept this to be printable. That whole exercise to amylase on small stage big events is one of the strongest part of the new connected world. Thnaks for rasing a very pertinent point, I would like to analyse the implicationso of the case of terror agsinst Saudi Princes with this kind of open approach. I hope I find some time today..