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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (17508)8/18/2002 11:05:53 PM
From: jimsioi  Respond to of 36161
 
CDE a speculative play for those with no fear of debt.

Happened to take a look at CDE's financials...guess they've been out for a while...

biz.yahoo.com

While management tries to put a good spin on 'em, I fail to see it. Cash flow during
the last quarter was 4.4 million in the red or about 6.5 cents per share. Increasing
mine production as the year progresses will help stem the tide of red ink, but the short
fall represents 25% of revenues...As a money making machine, CDE currently is
not...as a speculative quick play on a spike in silver....well, be my guest. Take a look
at the balance sheet.... more IOUs there than I'd care to see. Question ought to
be, when is each due? Company had to issue 13+% debt to pay off 6% debt....what's
that tell you.

(From the report; "In June 2002, Coeur secured $16.0 million of financing by issuing
Series II 13.375% Convertible Senior Subordinated Notes. The proceeds were used
to repay the remaining 6% Convertible Subordinated Debentures that matured on
June 10, 2002 as well as for general working capital purposes.")

Company has about $2.05 per share in debt. Down only one million from year end
'01

Realized price in the last quarter for Silver was $4.82...

They talk about "positive cash flow" for the quarter....sorry, not from operations. Net
loss plus loss on retirement of debt (assumed to be non cash) plus depreciation was a
negative $4.4 million. Their statement's positive cash flow comes from interest expense
on Convertible Senior Subordinated Notes being paid with common stock......dilute
yourself to prosperity.

Non of this means that CDE won't rise with gold and silver prices, as by virtue of its
price and relatively small float it's a certain play thing of the speculative momentum
crowd, but it also suggests the company my fall in to oblivion if metal prices fall and stay
down.