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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JohnM who wrote (38675)8/19/2002 2:59:47 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
We haven't seen any political negotiations discussed, the kind that would lead the Palestinians to think there is a way to a peaceful coexistence with Israel on some sort of horizon

The usual scenario is: government and rebels fight until both sides see that a military victory is not possible (if a military victory is possible, then the rebels overthrow the government or the government crushes the rebels, and we stop here). Then the two sides sit down and negotiate, and cut a deal. Then each side fights a civil war against its own hardliners to make them accept the deal.

The Israeli/Pal situation is intractable because it got stuck at step 2 -- negotiations have already had the strongest possible try at the highest levels. The results of those negotiations completely discredited Arafat as a 'partner' in American and Israeli eyes (as for Hamas, they never even prentended), and elected Arik Sharon, whom the Palestinians won't talk to. So whom should the Israelis discuss negotiating with? The Left's usual answer is, other Isrealis, but it's hardly a productive solution.

It's the only one that makes any sense for me of a very senseless situation.

It is a non-analagous analogy. The more you repeat it as a mantra, the less of the actual dynamics you will understand.