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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (38768)	8/20/2002 9:22:49 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

The general opinion I hear is that the best course to take is to do as much business as possible with China, creating a material incentive to maintain the status quo, and let time do its work: the old guard of the Chinese leadership is dying off and will continue to do so. Yes indeedie... That's the way to moderate the mainland eventually. Business and social ties... But one day, I opine, there's going to be a power struggle in Bejing far more serious than anything we've seen to date between the militarists and party leadership. And it will likely center around how the PLA is being required to divest itself of its "business interests" and become more professional, while still granting them political participation in the CPC. cato.org english.peopledaily.com.cn The civilian CPC members are trying to take the military's business profits away and that means you have to give the generals all the weapons they want in order to keep them happy. It's the military-industrial complex all over again, except this time the generals can vote. But yes.. It's unlikely the PLA would attempt such an attack in the near future, but I don't discount the possibility of an attempted palace coup should they elect to use the Taiwan issue in order to seize control over the CPC. Politicized militaries are very dangerous entities, especially those as corrupt as the PLA. Hawk