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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4997)8/21/2002 7:22:38 PM
From: 4figureau  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
AOL to avoid "junk" status for now
NEW YORK (Reuters) - For now, AOL Time Warner Inc. and its $27 billion of debt appear unlikely to be consigned to the junk heap.

Standard & Poor's Ratings Services on Wednesday threatened to cut AOL's "BBB-plus" long-term rating one notch on concern the media giant will take on more debt to buy AT&T Corp.'s stake in the companies' Time Warner Entertainment partnership. It affirmed AOL's "Prime-2" short-term rating.

Moody's Investors Service affirmed AOL's equivalent "Baa1" and "Prime-2" long- and short-term ratings, while Fitch Ratings affirmed its equivalent "BBB-plus" long-term rating, all with "negative" outlooks.

All three agencies expect AOL to remain "investment-grade," helped by strong brand names such as CNN, Home Box Office, Sports Illustrated and the Warner Brothers film studio.

This may keep AOL's borrowing costs from soaring, and calmed market fears AOL would follow rival Vivendi Universal into "junk" status and become the next media "fallen angel." Yields on AOL's 10-year notes have fallen nearly 3 percentage points in the last week, and prices have risen about 20 percent.

Moody's Senior Vice President Neil Begley said in an interview that "one of the main differences between AOL and Vivendi is (that) AOL has a fairly solid liquidity profile, so long as it has no material accounting problems."

AOL agreed to pay AT&T $2.1 billion in cash, $1.5 billion in AOL stock and a 21 percent stake in cable systems serving 10.8 million customers, for AT&T's 27.6 percent partnership stake. The buyout would give AOL control of HBO, Warner Brothers and Time Warner Cable.

The Securities and Exchange Commission and Justice Department are probing accounting practices at AOL's America Online unit.

AOL shares on Wednesday surged 97 cents, or 7.3 percent, on the New York Stock Exchange to finish at $14.33, up 97 cents. The shares are still down 55 percent this year.

Traders said AOL's 6.15 percent notes maturing in 2007 rose 4 cents on the dollar to 90.5 cents, driving their yield down to 8.66 percent, while its 6.875 percent notes maturing in 2012 rose 5.5 cents to 90 cents, yielding 8.4 percent.

The 10-year notes were bid at 75 cents, with a yield topping 11 percent, one week ago.

PROBES LEAD TO "UNCERTAINTY"

AOL Chief Financial Officer Wayne Pace said AOL plans to fund the $2.1 billion cash payment with debt from the new cable entity. The company plans to conduct an initial public offering of the new company, which would be known as Time Warner Cable.

S&P analyst Heather Goodchild said in a report that such debt issuance "adds pressure to already weak credit ratios."

Another S&P analyst, Andrew Watt, said the SEC and Justice Department probes into America Online's accounting "contribute to uncertainty" and may undermine the unit's momentum.

Moody's, meanwhile, said AOL's leadership in media and the "content richness of its leading brands" should help it boost cash flow even if debt rises.

Andrew Palmer, who owns AOL bonds among the $1.5 billion he helps invest for ASB Capital Management Inc. in Washington, D.C., said the agencies' actions "reflect some of the increased risks to AOL, but they haven't overacted. The (probes) are enough to raise people's concerns, but the scope doesn't seem as significant as it has been for other fallen angels."

AOL and AT&T, which plans to sell its AT&T Broadband business to Comcast Corp. later this year, expect to unwind the 10-year-old Time Warner partnership in early 2003.

Moody's Begley said, "If it does the IPO and hits its free cash flow targets, which are not aggressive, (AOL's) metrics should move back in line with its current ratings."

Reuters/Variety

webcenter.newssearch.netscape.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4997)8/22/2002 1:08:04 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
A Method Becomes Clearer in a Methodical Investigation

By KURT EICHENWALD
The New York Times

HOUSTON, Aug. 21 — Throughout the summer, politicians and others have expressed impatience with the Enron investigation, demanding to know why no one from the company had yet been charged with a crime — particularly when executives involved in other corporate scandals were being led away in handcuffs.

But even as the criticism was building, federal investigators were behind closed doors with Michael J. Kopper, a former Enron finance executive, who spelled out in excruciating detail all of the evidence he could provide to aid in the prosecution of some of his erstwhile colleagues and friends.

Indeed, to legal experts, the breakthrough from the Kopper plea and the detailed allegations submitted in court records filed today demonstrate how wrongheaded much of the criticism of the investigation's pace has been and provides the strongest signals yet for where the case is headed.

"The biggest mistake that the government could make would be to start bringing charges just to satisfy public opinion or political pressure," said Thomas Ajamie, a securities law expert with the firm of Schirrmeister Ajamie in Houston. "They need to move forward, making sure they have all their facts together. And from the Kopper plea, it appears that they are using a methodical, calculated, steady strategy."

After prominent arrests in the comparatively straightforward cases involving accusations of fraud at companies like Adelphia Communications and WorldCom, the plea deal with Mr. Kopper might seem to be mildly insignificant. But legal experts said it demonstrated that prosecutors were using a strategy that should strike fear in anyone who committed a crime at Enron — particularly if they did so with Mr. Kopper.

The reason is simple: the arrests in the other cases were ends in themselves, with the central participants in possible wrongdoing brought in on charges that they contested. But the deal with Mr. Kopper demonstrates that prosecutors in the Enron case are relying on a strategy in which lower level executives are "flipped" to provide evidence against those higher up.

The investigation of Enron is taking time, lawyers said, because the case is suffused with complexity.

"The allegations at WorldCom and Adelphia are addition and subtraction," said Robert A. Mintz, a former federal prosecutor who is now a partner with McCarter & English. "Enron is calculus."

But with an insider like Mr. Kopper strongly motivated to spell out every detail of what he knows to reduce his potential sentence, the government can begin moving up the line.

"This gives them the critical insider to link all of the paper together," said Stephen Ryan, a former federal prosecutor who is now a partner at Manatt, Phelps & Phillips. "They may have a million documents, but you absolutely have to have the critical human linkage of what people said when they were at a meeting, what actions they proposed to take that aren't reflected on the paper."

The direction of the inquiry in coming weeks is already becoming apparent.

The plea establishes for the first time that there were at least two distinct levels of potential fraud involving Enron and its partnerships. The company, government officials said, was deceiving Wall Street and regulators by using the partnerships to shift assets off its books and to improperly pump up earnings. At the same time, based on documents filed with the court, Enron executives were using those same partnerships to defraud the company.

Documents in the case and Mr. Kopper's statements in court demonstrate that the government has obtained a wealth of evidence from the deal that could be used against Andrew S. Fastow, Enron's former chief financial officer. He controlled the complex, off-the-books partnerships that played the central role in collapse of Enron. For example, Mr. Kopper stated in court today that he provided kickbacks to Mr. Fastow from money that he got for managing Chewco, one of those partnerships.

The avenues of investigation spelled out in the documents also make clear that prosecutors may have particularly effective leverage to push Mr. Fastow to strike a plea deal. Money from what his former colleague now says were illegal dealings went into accounts in the names of Mr. Fastow's own family and friends. A result, lawyers said, is that those people now also face investigation and potential liability.

"If Fastow's smart, and he is, and if his lawyers are smart, they should be trying to cut a deal right now," said John J. Fahy, a former federal prosecutor and lawyer for the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Other associates of Mr. Kopper also face potential liability. Enron insiders, for example, were involved with a partnership known as Southampton, which Mr. Kopper effectively admitted today was used to take millions of dollars that rightfully belonged to Enron.

Some participants in that deal — including Ben F. Glisan Jr., the company's former treasurer — tried to reach deals with the government earlier this year, but investigators turned them away because they were dissatisfied with what the deal participants were offering. Now, legal experts said, the prices any potential defendants must pay if they want to obtain a deal have significantly gone up.

"The deal is always less attractive for the second or third person in the door than it was for the first," Mr. Ryan said.

Mr. Kopper also provides the government with important new avenues of investigation. He has, for example, described to investigators conversations that open areas of inquiry regarding other senior Enron executives, people involved in the case said. Already, investigators are said to be following up on those leads.

Lawyers and people involved in the case, however, cautioned that while the plea by Mr. Kopper is strategically significant, the Enron case is not about to wrap up with a quick series of plea agreements. The next big break in the case could be months away, they said, as prosecutors continue the slow process of putting the next block into place.

nytimes.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (4997)8/22/2002 3:16:18 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Lay knew nothing about Enron deals, lawyer says

[and if you believe this I have some farmland I want to sell you in Southern Lake Michigan <G>]

By Jeff Franks

HOUSTON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Former Enron Corp. (Other OTC:ENRNQ.PK - News) chairman Ken Lay presided over such a sprawling company that he knew nothing about illegal side deals that helped topple the energy giant, his lead defense lawyer said on Wednesday in the first glimpse of his strategy for the legal wars ahead.

Mike Ramsey, a locally prominent attorney who has kept a low profile for months, suddenly surfaced at the federal courthouse on the same day former Enron executive Michael Kopper became the first company insider to plead guilty to a crime.

In an impromptu news conference, Ramsey tried to distance Lay from the financial scandal that drove Enron to bankruptcy in December.

"There were lots of things going on in Enron that lots of people didn't know anything about," he said. "Certainly the crimes that went on at Enron were kept secret on purpose. They were kept secret from the board, they were kept secret from many of the people over there.

"When people steal, they keep it secret," he added.

Ramsey said Lay was so far removed from financial deals that helped bring Enron down that he did not even know Kopper, who pleaded guilty on Wednesday to conspiracy to commit wire fraud and money laundering.

Kopper helped his boss, then-chief financial officer Andrew Fastow, run shadowy Enron-related partnerships that hid billions in debt, inflated profits, and sparked Enron's fall into bankruptcy.

When a reporter asked how it was possible for the chief executive of Enron to be so out of touch, Ramsey said it was a matter of the company's size and structure.

"I don't think you understand the way Enron is set up," Ramsey said. "I don't think you understand how many time zones it operates in, how many people there are and how criminals keep things secret from administration. If you come to understand that, I think you'll understand the whole situation we're in."

His comments were similar to those made by former Enron chief executive Jeff Skilling when he told Congress earlier this year he knew of no wrongdoing in the company.

Lay, who has not spoken publicly about the case, has not yet been charged with a crime but is a defendant in numerous shareholder lawsuits. He is accused in the suits of insider stock trading that netted him millions of dollars even as his company was going down the tubes.

But Ramsey said Lay sold off stock because he was trying to stay afloat financially as Enron's once-soaring share price plummeted last year. There were margin calls to be answered on his personal Enron stock holdings, he said.

"That is a rather complex situation where he was using a line of credit essentially because of the falling price of the shares. He had a heavy debt load and he was servicing debt," he said.

Ramsey said Lay was a victim of Washington politics, but that after congressional elections in November the pressure for prosecutors to pursue Lay would ease up. He was confident Lay would not be indicted.

"I've seen nothing that troubles me as a lawyer, so far as any wrongdoing by Ken Lay," he told reporters.