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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (5149)8/26/2002 11:41:58 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
Sean Corrigan, reporting from England:
(from Daily Reckoning)

- How long will it be until we get zero-finance homes,
to go along with the cars? In the desperate urge to
translate as much as possible of the inflationary asset-
credit spiral in housing back to their own bottom lines,
America's mortgage lenders have begun to address the
looming affordability problem in the US by importing a
range of tricks more typical of the UK market.

- Not content with the lowest long-term mortgage rates
since Elvis was skinny, home-owners - with the collusion
of lenders and appraisers - are resorting to all manner
of ruses in order to make their incomes stretch far
enough to cover that house payment.

- At California-based Countrywide Credit, owners with
existing 30-year loans at around 7% have been able to
refinance at 6% without paying a dime in closing costs -
"nirvana for home owners," Countrywide chief executive
Angelo Mozilo told the Charleston Daily Mail, while
rubbing his hands together in glee at the fact that his
company is on pace to originate $170 billion in loans
this year. "And it's accelerating," said Mozilo, after
July alone hit $17.1 billion.

- Don't even stop to think about the fact that this
company, with equity of around $4.5 billion, "services"
a portfolio of $400 billion in loans - it's all right,
he assures us: all risk is "hedged" using derivative
instruments.

- But low rates by themselves are not enough. What is
helping juice this late cycle phase are the multiplying
alternatives to traditional fixed-rate and adjustable-
rate loans.

- Some of these new products reduce initial payments by
charging interest only at first (who needs to sweat to
pay off the loan itself when prices are going to go up
for years, right?).

- Others work by setting a lower fixed rate for three,
five or seven years before converting to adjustable
rates. Others are offered with virtually no down
payments required.

- At Wells Fargo, consumer demand for a hybrid mortgage
that is fixed for five years and then becomes adjustable
has grown more than 150 percent from last fall. The
Daily Mail quotes Brad Blackwell, a senior vice
president at the San Francisco-based bank, as saying
that consumers who refinanced their homes as recently as
six months ago have been drawn back by rates that have
continued to fall.

- Borrowers, especially those with loan amounts
exceeding $300,000, "are flocking to this loan in record
numbers," he said.

- Lending has also been spurred by the willingness of
home-loan buyers such as New Deal hangover Fannie Mae
and Wells Fargo to accept mortgages representing more
than 100 percent of the appraised value of a home.

- Who said, "Prudential standards of lending?"

- "The credit spigots are as wide open as we've ever
seen them," consumer loan expert Keith Gumbinger told
the Daily Mail. "You can borrow money in excess of the
value of your home. You don't need a down payment, you
don't need any money for closing costs. Things could
change, but for people with decent credit right now, if
you can breathe you can get a mortgage."

- Walter Updegrave, CNN Money "specialist", recorded the
following gem in response to an online query, "Is it a
good idea to keep a home equity line of credit as an
emergency fund?"

- "Yes," said our Wally, eagerly. "Yes, I think it's a
great idea to have a home equity line of credit as an
emergency fund. With the economy so unstable, you never
know when some financial problem may find its way to
your door - a pink slip from an employer who has 'right-
sized' you out of your job, unexpected medical expenses,
college tuition bills. Being able to write a check
against the equity in your home provides a quick and
convenient way for you to meet unexpected obligations."

- Wow! That's great! If we get into trouble, we'll just
sell off some capital. And capital we didn't have to
sweat to earn, to boot! How novel!

- "But," said Wally, suddenly revealing himself as a
party-pooper, "It shouldn't be your only basket of eggs.
While I think it's okay for a home equity line to be
'an' emergency fund, I don't think it's a good idea for
a home equity line of credit to be your only emergency
fund. Which is to say, I think your first line of
defense in emergencies should be savings."

- Savings? Give us a break, Wally. "Savings" are what
our grandparents did; we're so over that.