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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (39921)	8/26/2002 2:33:31 AM
From: kumar	Respond to of 281500

Lawyers for President Bush have concluded he can launch an attack on Iraq without new approval from Congress, in part because they say that permission remains in force from the 1991 resolution giving Bush's father authority to wage war in the Persian Gulf, according to administration officials. I'm no legal expert, so maybe he could. Chances are he'd be a 1 term prez. cheers, kumar

To: LindyBill who wrote (39921)	8/26/2002 11:14:37 AM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Lawyers for President Bush have concluded he can launch an attack on Iraq without new approval from Congress, in part because they say that permission remains in force from the 1991 resolution giving Bush's father authority to wage war in the Persian Gulf, according to administration officials. This works if it's a three day war with no mistakes. More than highly unlikely though so I assume the following. If they go without some serious national debate and/or congressional debate and/or UN debate (as Jim Baker recommends), the first reaction will be a kind of quiet, at least among politicians. No one wishes to be the first out of the gate, to be determined wrong by the next day's or week's events. So they will wait. But the first large imperfection or the first followed by a second, and they will come out. And the argument will be that not only have the Bush folk done something or other wrong that led to the problem; but, more devastatingly, in my opinion, they did it on their own. None of the rest of us are on the hook for it. If the Bush folk then ignore those comments, the war continues with mixed results, and the time period extends into several months, then the wheels begin to come off. Bush will not only look like a one term president and Lieberman's presidential prospects will, most likely, be gone. But the political woods will fill with Democratic presidential hopefuls, sensing they have a chance for 04. And, if the Bush folk go hardline on us, which they are quite capable of doing, we will have strong protests in this country. That little scenario presumes the politicians are, even though slow, the first out of the gate with criticisms. The more I type, the more I think that unlikely. They will wait for a restless populace. But, given the speed of communications, that won't take long.