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To: yard_man who wrote (51229)8/26/2002 3:09:40 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
but what's the "no return" level for you.

If you mean, what is the level we could go to here and still then go to new highs in the Dow to finish this leg, then I'll repeat: no low under today's.



To: yard_man who wrote (51229)8/26/2002 3:14:57 PM
From: Paul Shread  Respond to of 209892
 
This doesn't seem to want up any more than it wants down.



To: yard_man who wrote (51229)8/26/2002 4:26:13 PM
From: augieboo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Tippet: <<gold carp seem to be defying gravity here ... >>

XAU up while everything else is down -- possibly because it's where the frightened bears are hiding?

Seems to me this could help some bulls fool themselves into excessive happiness, (on the theory that XAU and everything else have "returned" to their "proper" inverse relationship).

If the bulls get too happy, and the bears get too scared, it seems to me we are looking at two things happening:

1. The overly happy bulls are setting themselves up to become bag holders when this thing reverses into a quick, distributive top;

2. The overly frightened bears are setting themselves up to be &itch-slapped when the indexes reverse up quickly, thus sending XAU tanking, and then %itch-slapped some more when the top blows off and the indexes tank-zilla.

Not sure if this makes sense, because I'm running on about 50,000 mg of caffeine at the moment, but if what I wrote comports with what I'm thinking, then I think I'm describing evidence that AA's favored, (i.e., skrew everybody at once), scenario is unfolding.

On the other hand, I could be hallucinating.