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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (40113)	8/26/2002 9:19:24 PM
From: Eashoa' M'sheekha	Respond to of 281500

Results of PSR Poll – August 26,2002 pcpsr.org [ Dare to compare <G> ] The most notable shift I see here is a discouragement towards democracy ( such as it was ),and greater faith towards the Islamist groups.Is this the desired direction? KC ********************************************************** WHILE SHARPLY DIVIDED OVER THE CEASEFIRE AND BOMBING ATTACKS AGAINST CIVILIANS, AN OVERWHELMING MAJORITY SUPPORTS POLITICAL REFORM BUT HAVE DOUBTS ABOUT THE PA’S INTENTIONS TO IMPLEMENT IT The Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) has conducted a public opinion poll in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip during the period between 18-20 August 2002. A representative sample of 1320 adults were interviewed face-to-face, in 120 locations, with a sample error of 3%. For more details, contact PSR director, Khalil Shikaki (+972 2 296 4933; kshikaki@pcpsr.org). The following are the main results: Arafat’s popularity reaches 34%, compared to 35% in May, 36% in December 2001, 33% in July 2001, and 46% in July 2000 (before the intifada). The popularity of Marwan Barghouti increases from 19% in May to 23% today. Barghouti’s popularity stood at 11% in December 2001. Fateh’s popularity decreases to 26% compared to 32% last May, 28% in December 2001, and 37% in July 2000. Popularity of the Islamist groups increases to 27% compared to 25% in May 2002 and December 2001, and 17% in July 2001.** 48% support, and 50% oppose, the gradual implementation of a ceasefire and Israeli army withdrawal. Moreover, 43% support, and 53% oppose, internal Palestinian efforts aiming at ending bombing attacks against civilians inside Israel. The percentage of support for such attacks (52%) is identical with that obtained last May, while it stood at 58% in December 2001. 70% (compared to 67% last May, and 61% in December 2001) believe that armed confrontations have helped achieve Palestinian national rights in ways that negotiations could not. A majority of 73% supports reconciliation between the Israeli and Palestinian peoples after reaching a peace agreement based on the establishment of a Palestinian state recognized by Israel. 31% support, and 65% oppose, a Jordanian and Egyptian security role in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. Support for such role increases in the Gaza Strip to 36% and decreases in the West Bank to 28%. 31% believe that Jordan is right, and 66% believe that it is wrong, in putting obstacles making it difficult for Palestinians to travel to Jordan. In the meanwhile, only 19% say that conditions in the West Bank and Gaza forces them to seek permanent emigration. Belief that Jordan is right increases in the Gaza Strip to 41% and decreases in the West Bank to 24%. A large majority of 84% supports fundamental reforms in the Palestinian Authority, while 69% support, and 22% oppose, the appointment or election of a Palestinian prime minister. But only 44% support, and 48% oppose, changing the Palestinian political system so that power would resides in the hands of a prime minister while the office of the president would become ceremonial. Only 25% have confidence in the new government’s ability to reform internal conditions and deal with Israel, and only 34% believe that the government has the intention to implement the One-Hundred Day Program for political and financial reform. A large percentage of 85% believes that corruption exists in PA institutions, and among those, only 30% are convinced that the efforts of the finance minister to unify PA revenue and expenditure operations would eliminate financial corruption. ------------------------------- This PSR survey was conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Ramallah.