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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: robert b furman who wrote (2715)	9/5/2002 5:22:57 PM
From: chojiro	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 25522

<<It is more a question of when rather than if - that requires patience - an integral aspect of investment. I'm ok with that - as it allows more accumulation - which is the phase we're in right now.>>> Bob, I agree with you 100%. But that $60,000 question is very important, "when?" The bad side to what you commented about is that those baby boomers are going to be needing retirement money soon I don't have statistics in front of me but I bet they are getting nervous and while they may have a passion for high tech and all, when reality sets in that they can't gamble with their retirement(well, not so much) They are gonna be looking for other means. The latest buzz word(how appropriate again) is dividends. They will need a source of money they can "depend upon" Thatis not high tech territory. Only other problem with that is there may be a good number of stocks currently providing 4-7% dividend returns. I'm just not so sure they can maintain them. Look at MO. The announcement of them raising the dividend was very timely. The stock was in a serious down trend and the announcement sort of helped that out. But not for long. Perhaps MO will be able to keep the dividend there, and as the price lowers the % will increase. But I see a host of other stocks with decent dividend % that will have to either suspend it or reduce it in the future. So the next thing is to look at bonds. That is where we'll be going. i suspect even the bond market might top out here before the end of the year.