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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (5488)8/30/2002 11:22:37 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
Eric Fry on real estate:

- The most popular means of consumption right
now, of course, is to swap some of that "excess" home
equity for a new car, a DVD player, a Stairmaster or
whatever else consumers deem a necessity. We are smack
in the middle of the fifth distinct mortgage-refinancing
surge since 1997, and this current surge is by far the
most spectacular. Refinancing activity is literally
"soaring off the charts."

- Is this, too, a bubble about to burst?..."Yes," is the
implicit answer from the home-building industry.
"Executives across the US home-building industry have
been selling shares in their companies at a record pace
this year," the Financial Times reports, "Corporate
officers and board members in publicly traded US
building companies sold a record $258 million-worth of
shares more than they bought in the second quarter.
Of
the 16 homebuilders with the largest market
capitalization, seven had reduced their executive
shareholdings by the largest amount seen in individual
records going back two decades."

- So what's driving this housing-bubble-cum-insider-
selling-opportunity? The Financial Times provides a
handy summary: "Home values may be increasingly fuelled
by excess credit, a subsequent deterioration in lending
standards and unsustainable expectations among
prospective home buyers for more double-digit percentage
gains."


- If it walks like a duck...