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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (41075)	8/30/2002 7:51:22 PM
From: Elsewhere	Respond to of 281500

What prevents them now? Just watch. If the USA invades Iraq unilaterally I'd bet Taiwan would be taken in the next decade. The US alliance protects Taiwan We'd see lots of poker games. If China takes Taiwan - would the USA launch ICBMs?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (41075)	9/5/2002 3:46:18 PM
From: Elsewhere	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

>> What would prevent China from invading Taiwan one day? > What prevents them now? My point is picked up in a NYT article: September 5, 2002 Bid to Justify a First Strike By DAVID E. SANGER nytimes.com "Any resolution approving pre-emptive action could set a precedent that could be used in a variety of other conflicts, and will almost certainly be seized upon by other nations - maybe China in its confrontation with Taiwan, or India in its conflict with Pakistan - as they pursue their own agendas."