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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (41301)	9/1/2002 11:31:41 AM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

I found a new Palestinian poll reproduced on the Dawson Speaks blog. I gather you consider the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) a serious polling outfit. Can you say something about it so the rest of us will have some idea as to just how to take it. Two caveats on these polls (in addition to the usual caveats on all public opinion polls) and we've both already stated them in posts to one another: 1. Polls in wartime are terribly unreliable because of the oppressive character of public opinion. Folk don't wish to state opinions counter to what they perceive as the normative ones. While this has some effect all the time, it's effect in wartime is dramatic. 2. Polls in wartime are terribly unreliable because of their volatility. Changing circumstances in war efforts change opinions dramatically and swiftly. But polls do go on and good ones help us think about what's going on.