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To: reaper who wrote (52359)9/3/2002 2:28:59 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
looking at the price of my gold miners today -- I think AG has already accomplished his mission. No improvement necessary <ng>



To: reaper who wrote (52359)9/3/2002 2:33:22 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 209892
 
POINT OF VIEW: Bubble-Stopping Not Right Job For Fed

03 Sep 13:11

By Neal Lipschutz
A Dow Jones Newswires Column

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--As debate swirls about whether the Federal Reserve can
tame a stock market bubble before it over-inflates and bursts, a larger
question looms: Do we want a government body to wield such power over market
decisions?
Put another way, the question becomes: shouldn't markets reflect the
synthesis of thousands of daily decisions by investors, even if that investor
consensus is somehow "wrong"?
Sure, from the post-burst vantage point now so unhappily inhabited by U.S.

equity investors (who are experiencing another downdraft Tuesday), a
bubble-stopping guardian angel seems awfully attractive.

If only the Federal Reserve in the late 1990s had used jawboning and monetary
policy to gently let the air out of the asset bubble, this thinking goes,
investors would have suffered only a mild letdown rather than the stunning
declines experienced most of all by technology share owners. But attractive
as it now seems, over the long haul it is dangerous to ask the Fed or any other
government body to save investors from themselves. Ultimately, if asked or
required to do so, policy makers will make rescue attempts too frequently, with
negative results for open markets and economic activity.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan doesn't believe it can successfully
be done, and his public pronouncement to that effect is what started this
latest debate on asset bubble control.

Greenspan on Aug. 30 told the annual gathering of central bankers and
academic monetary specialists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that "it was far from
obvious that bubbles, even if identified early, could be pre-empted short of
the central bank inducing a substantial contraction in economic activity - the
very outcome we would be seeking to avoid."
He added: "The notion that a well-timed incremental tightening could have
been calibrated to prevent the late 1990s bubble is almost surely an illusion."
Greenspan's talk has been criticized by some who found him a tad defensive.

Some market commentators think that if the Fed in the late 1990s had raised
rates sooner, we would never have gotten above 5,000 on the Nasdaq Composite
Index, only to fall so far back to solid ground.

But to insist on the Fed intervening in such a way is to skew the central
bank's priorities, which should always put inflation-fighting first. It also
invites damaging regular intervention into the markets (bubbles will most
certainly be over-diagnosed) and introduces uncertainty into the real economy.

The Fed under Greenspan has established a credible relationship for monetary
policy and financial market activity. When events in markets are having a
significant influence on the broader economy either by experiencing systemic
problems or by strongly influencing consumer spending and confidence, Fed
policy action is appropriate.

But wanting the Fed to spot and stop bubbles or otherwise fine-tune market
actions is both unlikely to be successful and unhealthy for a market system
that should trust the consensus of honestly arrived at decisions made by
investors seeking their own self interest.

Given human nature, that means periods of too much optimism and too much
pessimism. But expecting other fallible human beings to somehow fix this issue
is simply asking for more trouble and needless restraint on economic potential.


Neal Lipschutz is senior editor, Americas, for Dow Jones Newswires.


-By Neal Lipschutz, Dow Jones Newswires, 201 938 5152
neal.lipschutz@dowjones.com

(END) DOW JONES NEWS 09-03-02
01:11 PM



To: reaper who wrote (52359)9/3/2002 2:36:15 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 209892
 
AG denied that he didn't know there was a bubble! What a facking liar! It was he who said "Irrational Exuberance" about the market back in late mid 90's. He and his croonies knew it but ignored and stoked up the fire with more cuts...incredible!



To: reaper who wrote (52359)9/3/2002 2:36:32 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
<<i was actually kinda hoping for another AG revisionist denial speech <g>>>

...or maybe another "the bottom is in!" lecture from Harpo!