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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: macavity who wrote (6730)9/5/2002 8:44:43 AM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Respond to of 33421
 
I am actually in the multiple-dip deflation adjusted deflation camp for the next 10 years.

I am actually in the multiple-dip inflation adjusted deflation camp for the next 10 years. LOL.
There is no inflation I have been told, but my WalMart caddy keeps costing more every months, as my stamps or newspapers.

Agree on the the timing of the through.
I wager 2008-2015 in a painfull managed dip after dip slide.

WSJ today:
U.S. auto sales surged 13% last month, spurred by no-interest financing offers. Electronics retailers have been hurt by the financing plans, as consumers opt to spend their money on cars instead of TVs, DVD players and other gadgets.

I guess J6P will buy bonds after he'll have his 4th SUV.
Then as yields keep falling,
will buy into housing with a larger garage. <g>
Housing bubble (lower and median segment) still to unfold.

But with 6 to 13 years to wait before buying real-estate or in the inflation lead recovery, I doubt I still will be solvent <vbg>.

In a sense, bonds could be the current play. I remember of negative yields in the eighties.