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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (6736)9/6/2002 2:40:20 AM
From: macavity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Thx for the link.


The thing that screams deflation here is that despite the fact that there have been 11 or 12 rate cuts, LongTerm Yields have fallen - this has only occured twice last century.
Hence the market is saying that it does not believe that there will be either of
i) Inflation.
ii)A pick up in the economy.

"Do not fight the Fed!" Ha!
"Do not fight the Trend, Fed!" more like.

The US has turned from net buyer of bonds to seller, and still Bonds cannot fall - what the hell does that tell the CNBC boys and girls? Obviously not a lot.

The other 2 occasions were
i) Japan 1989
ii) US 1929
Not understanding economics, I prefer to think by induction and use history to get an idea of what may be happening.

The Wizard of OZ is being unmasked as we watch.

-macavity