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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (42654)9/8/2002 8:47:46 PM
From: Win Smith  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
You never get tired of ridiculous Left/Right generalizations that just happen to hone your axe, do you, Bill? Yitzhak Rabin and his policy of "force, might, beatings" sure fits into your analysis well. The Israeli Right knew how to handle Rabin real good, though.



To: LindyBill who wrote (42654)9/8/2002 9:06:33 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Thanks for the reply, Bill. My own sense is that it's much more complicated. Keppel is changing my mind about a lot of things. I'm not prepared to say too much yet because it is genuinely complicated and I don't understand it well enough to boil it down into communicable phrases. Right now I'm driving my wife nuts with these complicated scenarios. She asks what I now think about x, y, or z in the ME and then walks away ten minutes later as I'm only into the second or third page of complications. But I'll get there.

The biggest complication I see and I one I expected to see is that something called the Islamists is a differentiated movement, only some elements of which are into violence. Their ability to control the flow of political events in any country is a product of a great many variables but not a given.

However, one interesting thing. Keppel sees the Iranian situation as completely unique even though it, obviously, became a model for activists. The absence of a similarly respected figure in other countries limited its spread.