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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: maceng2 who wrote (42875)	9/9/2002 2:38:12 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Respond to of 281500

That statement scares the hell out of me. When officials become "confident" of the outcome in a proposed war, it is 99.9% (imho) certain they are completely wrong. This is one of those cases where everybody remembers the cases where they were confident and wrong, but forgets the cases where they were confident and right. We damn well should be confident that we can beat Saddam. What we should worry about is what price he can exact if he chooses to pull a Samson on the way down, and whether he can force us to kill large numbers of Iraqis, which we don't want to do. What happens if China and Russia join the war on Iraqs side? Not gonna happen. We wouldn't be talking like this if Iraq had large-power patronage. Whether China will use the cover of the war to pull a fast one with Taiwan, that's a worry.