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To: The Freep who wrote (52871)9/9/2002 9:52:55 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Sorry no posts today. The Rush concert last night went long. I feel older than Geddy Lee today.

I am not looking down here except in the very short-term which I think will be a little ugly. Non-tech still needs another leg up methinks and I smell a flat on the COMP daily which means another run back to 1430 and likely a little more.

As for the larger time frames I think that SPX H&S test could last months so be ready for a large range. Should be great for trading.

Shack (who after the first quarter thinks Kordell Stewart better stick to the rush)



To: The Freep who wrote (52871)9/9/2002 10:44:29 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Yeahhh… Bullish argument… What about the fact that you and I and the Rydex traders are short? -g/ng. Maybe, structurally speaking, Mr. Market, after rallying in a double zigzag since July, may decide to decline now in a 5-3-5 (us being now somewhere in the ‘3’), and then kick butt in another several wiggles up, to match the move in July-August…

And yes, postings slowed down. Is it bullish or bearish? I don’t know. I perceive the silence as a sort of a ‘decrease in volatility’, with people having little to say because they may be having too many doubts. Calm before a storm?

The bullish case is not easy to make. The long-term trend is down. The action since the onset of July – August rally was somewhat ‘ugly’, sharp, “three-wavy”, with many overlaps, and full of episodes of panic buying, as witnessed by frequent and at times daily extreme ticks.

So… imho, the down resolution is more likely, but short-term counter moves may be sharp and exhausting… Got to have clear criteria for money management. Bad time for leveraging out every buck ..-bg.



To: The Freep who wrote (52871)9/9/2002 11:22:51 PM
From: jjstingray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Don't you think we are going to see a decent rally if nothing goes wrong on the 11th? Everyone is making so much of this anniversary and I think it will just roar right by us without any incidence.. That being said, with the volume so low, if nothing does hapen, I think we will run a little bit.