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To: fedhead who wrote (147243)9/10/2002 4:18:49 PM
From: Oeconomicus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Greenspan is betting that if he can shore up the consumer by making them take on more and more debt till the corporations resume spending...
I would look at the japanese experience after their bubble burst as a better guide as to what is happening now in the US.


Except that Japanese consumers were diligent savers, not borrowers. Lower interest rates didn't stimulate consumer spending in Japan because they weren't particularly interested in borrowing. Here, consumers have been refinancing their mortgages at rates that result in big jumps in their discretionary spending capacity and that cash stimulates spending.

BTW, after the '91 recession was officially over (April '91), people were "settling" for lower paying jobs for 2 or 3 more years as industries "restructured" and "downsized" one after another. The economy as a whole recovered, though.