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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (43139)	9/11/2002 2:59:50 AM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

the INC (who seem genuinely attached to the idea of democracy). They certainly want you to think that they are genuinely attached to the idea of democracy. I have my doubts, and I think that if you look closely at the groups that make up the INC - particularly those that actually have bodies behind them in Iraq - you will share those doubts. I would bet that we will install some sort of federated democratic government. I hope the Bush adminstration sticks around to do that. Installing such a government is possible, making it sustainable would be an extended commitment. I would bet the opposite: that we will install a "government" of Sunnis, probably one-time Saddam boys that are now in exile (no shortage of candidates, all eagerly presenting themselves), that have some level of support in the army. Such a government would be anything but democratic, though certainly there would be much talk of democracy sometime in the vague future. That would provide us with a quick exit; it would also provide a weak government with little popular support, ripe for Islamist undermining and Iraninan subversion.