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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (43169)	9/11/2002 8:39:38 PM
From: Dayuhan	Respond to of 281500

I think we're far too dependent on the Kurds to sell them out in this fashion, even if we wanted to. By the time we are in a position to install a government, we will no longer be dependent on the Kurds. The whole Kurdish situation is a hard one: we need the Kurds, but we need the Turks too, and we all know how the Turks and the Kurds feel about each other. We can't install a Kurdish government to rule Iraq; the Sunnis and the Shiites would not have it. If we install a Shiite we will have to dismantle the entire Sunni-dominated Iraqi army, and then watch the new Shiite government go for revenge. If we install a Sunni-dominated government we can keep the basic elements of the army, but the Shiites and the Kurds will be restive to say the least. A government without a following among any group couldn't govern. It is often said that anything would be better than Saddam. I don't think that's necessarily true. Chaos and dissolution - which would benefit only the Islamists - could be a good deal worse.