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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sylvester80 who wrote (6430)	9/14/2002 3:59:55 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 89467

Hi sylvester88, <<My bet is within the next 1800 days>> ... could happen if Taiwan/ROC declares independence with US backing, encouraged by overwhelming US pacification of MiddleEast in double quick time, otherwise not, because not necessary, as Taiwan/ROC is changing at an accelerating pace, reverting to a time of fishing villages and backwater resorts in about 10 years' time. The educated and monied folks are leaving, taking their skills and money with them, to China, North America, Australia, and (surprisingly) South Africa/Latin America. The 1 million Taiwanese Chinese in China (400k in Greater Shanghai, rest in Guangdong/Fujian provinces) constitute a fair portion of the core productive folks of 21.5 mm total population. Under the circumstances, invasion seems hardly necessary, as time is doing its math of attrition. In any case, put me down for 5,475-7,300 days;0) Chugs, Jay