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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: BigBull who wrote (44926)	9/17/2002 8:45:02 PM
From: Bilow	Respond to of 281500

Hi BigBull; Thanks for the hard and fast prediction. The days are already getting shorter and March is not so far away. Re: "Now since I stepped up to the plate a set a "drop dead" date, won't you join me in the white hot spotlight and give us all a date when Israel lowers the Star of David flag on Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Haifa etc.?" About 15 to 25 years from now. It's not possible to predict exact dates in advance. Any time I end up right within 50% I consider it an amazing feat. And if you ask me twice, I'll make up different numbers as inaccurate as the ones before. So if it takes between 10 and 35 years I'll take credit for the prediction. Re: "I'm still waiting for that new Palestinian state modeled on South Africa!" No one, as far as I know, has ever suggested that a new Palestinian state would be modelled on South Africa, but the fall of South Africa gives a pretty good estimate for the times involved. I published a timeline on the fall of South Africa on the FADG thread. Here's a link: #reply-17327866 . That timeline shows that the UN embargoed South Africa in 1977, and the US followed in 1986. In 1992 the country agreed to be dismantled and made democratic. The UN is still a long time off from embargoing Israel, and the US is a long, long ways from banning imports from Israel. But the correlation of forces is inevitable, and after it happens the end will come quickly. Now, re evidence of a war with Iraq based on the use of commercial ships to transport munitions. What kind of evidence that the US is not moving materiel around in high volume would convince you that you're wrong on this? The net is an amazing thing, and my ability to figure out exactly where a ship is and what it is doing may shock you, LOL!!! *But before I go to the trouble of proving that the US maritime fleet isn't being used to sneak an army into Iraq, what kind of evidence would it take to convince you?* I've been through this same BS with Rambus investors for 3 years, and my observation is that no amount of clear evidence will convince them of anything. Are you the same way? -- Carl