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To: BDR who wrote (192708)9/19/2002 9:47:27 AM
From: BDR  Respond to of 436258
 
One man's (a Democrat and economist) view of how we got here:

The Atlantic Monthly | October 2002
 
The Roaring Nineties
As the chairman of Bill Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers, and subsequently as the chief economist of the World Bank during the East Asian financial crisis, Joseph Sitglitz was deeply involved in many of the economic-policy debates of the past ten years. What did this experience tell him? That much of what we think we know about the prosperity of the 1990s is wrong. Here is a revised history of the decade, by the winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in Economics
theatlantic.com

My summary of the Players according to Stiglitz:
Clinton - good but very lucky
Bush - bad though unlucky
Arthur Levitt - good
Alan Greenspan - very good
Robert Rubin - bad and good
Cause of the Bubble - creative accounting, crony capitalism, deregulation

Radio interview (6.5 minutes)
npr.org

If falling deficits and interest rates resulted in recapitalization of shaky bank balance sheets by propping up the prices of long term Treasuries, what does it portend for banks if higher deficits are on the way, higher interest rates seem more likely than lower, and much of the other stuff in bank portfolios look like so much junk?