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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stomper who wrote (7689)	9/22/2002 5:13:16 PM
From: ajtj99	Respond to of 30712

Interesting stuff. That's what we're looking for if we don't get a new low here in October. That's what we mean by the Nikkei trace. That is a lower probability, but we are watching out for it. Actually, the Nikkei re-trace is what most are looking for. Very few are looking for the bubble re-trace like we are. I like the term "anti-bubble" they use. They must be trying to figure out what is happening to their 401k's <G>.

To: stomper who wrote (7689)	9/22/2002 5:31:09 PM
From: exp	Respond to of 30712

STOMPER, Jeff, Justa, Ajtj: FYI: Comment: Stomper, very interesting research paper, thanks for posting! I noticed in Figure 1 that the time scale is the same (8 years total) for Nikkei and S&P500. Most websites also seem to use the same time scale when overlaying various market crashes. IMO this is a restrictive assumption as the bubbles/anti-bubbles may not take the same amount of time in different countries/periods. For example, Jeff uses 3:1 ratio of time scales for COMP retrace comparisons (actually this ratio is closer to 2.5:1 in 2002).