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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rande Is who wrote (55610)9/25/2002 9:23:50 AM
From: Condor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57584
 
Good morning Rande.
Your treatise this morning was not too encouraging and I hope events finally unfold in a more encouraging way. If events unfold in the manner you presented then I am also concerned that as a result American tempers will further flare and the country will further drift from military deterrence to out right violent aggression around the globe. This would no doubt further imperil the chances of normality in our lives and I believe further endanger world peace. Just as American militarism attitudes are undergoing some fundamental and profound direction changes, I believe the structure of economies and method of doing business will change substantially in the future. I believe the free markets as we know them will be re-evaluated and morphed. What justifies investing in companies that pay no dividends or virtually no dividends and the investor must rely on "best guess" at dumping the shares to glean a return on his investment. Either I'm nuts or there is something fundamentally wobbly with that structure. ( I'm probably nuts)
In any event Rande, I just wanted to add my concerns to your note. I have this feeling that the general populations of the free world are starting to understand and feel that "things" may never be the same again. Scary stuff that.
Regards
Richard



To: Rande Is who wrote (55610)9/25/2002 4:24:34 PM
From: GREENLAW4-7  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
Great post Rande!! Keep it up please!! I throughly enjoy your insight



To: Rande Is who wrote (55610)9/30/2002 7:37:23 AM
From: Condor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
More Homeowners Face Foreclosure


By DAVE CARPENTER 09/30/2002 05:53:29 EST

CHICAGO (AP) - Beth Johnson and the U.S. economy both were on a roll in 2000,
when she bought her first home.

A single mother, the Minnesotan managed to join the fast-swelling ranks of
homeowners on her modest but steady income after drawing up what seemed like a
manageable budget.

What she didn't anticipate were sudden medical bills and a shrinking economy that
wrecked her financial plan and dried up the job market, resulting in several missed
mortgage payments and an agonizing year on the brink of foreclosure.

"Money just got tight," says the 25-year-old Mankato, Minn., resident, who works in
customer service at a telecommunications company. "I felt completely helpless. ... I
got physically ill thinking about not having my home."

Unexpected troubles are puncturing the American dream for increasing numbers of
people nationwide.

It's the flip side to the happy homeowner scenario: Even with mortgage rates at record
lows, mortgage delinquencies are increasing and home foreclosures have climbed to
all-time highs.

According to data released this month by the Mortgage Bankers Association of
America, 0.4 percent of loans entered foreclosure in the second quarter and another
1.23 percent were still in the process - both unprecedented in the 30 years the group
has been keeping track.

The biggest culprit: rising unemployment, with sinking stock portfolios, illness and
easy financing all contributing.

The north-central United States, including layoff-hit manufacturing areas, topped all
regions with 0.47 percent of loans entering foreclosure in the second quarter.

But the trend has left no area untouched. The South had the most mortgage problems
as measured by payments 90 days or more overdue, nearly 1 percent, while Nevada,
Pennsylvania and Utah were among other trouble spots.

All types of borrowers have succumbed - from six-figure earners who defaulted on
$300,000 jumbo loans to middle-income couples buried in credit-card debt to first-time
homebuyers taking advantage of low rates to squeeze into a house.

The mortgage group's chief economist, Doug Duncan, says the main reason is the
recession, which cost 1.8 million jobs and shrank many paychecks as overtime fell.

Also behind it is the proliferation of non-traditional loan programs that mushroomed as
mortgage rates sank, enticing borrowers into taking on more debt than they could
handle, often at brokers' urging.

More liberal lending practices have helped boost U.S. home ownership to 68 percent of
all households, up from 63 percent a decade ago. But experts say some of the
innovative loans, including ones for 97 percent and even 125 percent of the home's
value, are showing cracks under the stress of an economic downturn.

"If Joe Sixpack can only scrape together 3 percent of the value of the home or less and
has to borrow the rest, he's got no cushion if he loses his job or gets divorced," said
James Croft, executive director of the Mortgage Asset Research Institute.

Not unlike when stocks started plummeting, the mortgage miseries have stirred panic
among many distressed borrowers and prompted a sharp rise in demand for financial
counseling.

"They're scared they're going to lose their house," says Melinda Wright, education
director of Consumer Credit Counseling Service of Central Indiana, which doubled its
typical mortgage delinquency workload to 30 appointments last month. "And they're
blaming themselves. They say, 'I should have known better.'"

At "Ask Susan," an Internet financial advice column compiled by nonprofit Money
Management International, foreclosure has recently become the most frequently
asked-about topic among thousands of questions received, says Kim McGrigg, who
co-writes it.

A posting from a woman named Poncha begins: "I have fallen behind on the monthly
house payment and the mortgage company calls me three or four times a week to ask
me when I will send a payment. I want to rework the loan but they don't care. ...
HELP!!!"

Still, experts say there's no cause for national alarm about the foreclosure trend. San
Francisco-based Loan Performance, which tracks mortgage loan data monthly, says
foreclosures and delinquencies may be flattening and recent loans are performing well.

But that's scant good news for people such as Johnson, who ran into trouble making
payments for her two-bedroom home after her son had ear surgery last year. She fell
three or four months behind, battled to pay off other bills and finally got help from a
foreclosure prevention program at Lutheran Social Service of Minnesota.

After taking out a second loan with deferred payments, it still took a lengthy fight with
her mortgage company to get foreclosure warnings stopped.

"I had a lot of anxiety, took medication for that. You get dragged down and really
depressed," she said.

Johnson admits she wasn't prepared for tough financial times and got caught up in the
homebuying rush, but adds: "There should be something out there that says you have
to have so much of a cushion before you can buy a home."

Loretta Cardonia, 42, has been fighting to save her home in Houston since shortly after
her husband was laid off last year. With debts and missed payments mounting, she
borrowed from her 401(k) plan but remains four months behind. When the phone rings,
she fears it's another foreclosure warning.

"I didn't think this was possible," said Cardonia, a pricing manager at a grocery store.
"It just takes a certain event and it seems to put you in a downward spiral."

As she seeks help and another loan, the nightmare has taught Cardonia some
lessons: Manage finances better and make mortgage payments first, even at the
expense of other bills.

"I've learned that no matter what, I'm going to pay the house payments first," she says.
"I don't want to lose the house."

___

On the Net:

mbaa.org

moneymanagement.org