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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (7417)9/26/2002 10:56:13 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 89467
 
between the mine lines on Barrick, realistic sinister view
I have often commented on Barrick's hedgebook and the dire threat looming over its financial operations
here is what I read between the lines

Barrick is very busy now stumbling along as it attempts a transition from a JPMorgo/FedResve tool (shorting gold on futures exchanges throughout 1990's) ...
to an actual gold miner (a hilarious concept) since their executives are ALL financial professionals without much of any experience in mining
they acquired a few mines to legitimize their front as a miner
when they really existed as a hedge firm shorting gold
they made far more money shorting gold than they ever will in mining gold !!!

as they slowly cover their hedgebook, they are admitting their total incapability of delivering gold into such a vast network of short futures, naked puts, and exotic contracts

as they slowly cover their hedgebook, they are seeing a drain of cash, which for a healthy gold miner would go into operations (drilling, smelting, refining, delivering gold)...
instead of diverting valuable cash into payments to cover short contracts inside the vast hedgebook

Barrick may not be dying suddenly from a sharp rise in gold price, which would lead to a quick acidic end to their balance sheet

instead Barrick is seeing its gold mining, legitimate mining operations suffer from lack of cash flow into production, blaming it on price
their money is being diverted into paying off hedgebook
plain & simple
this is to be expected

in my May memo on "20 Reasons Why Gold Will Rise"
here is reason #20
20. high gold price leads to higher demand, lower supply
- demand drops during price declines, becomes nonexistent at lowest prices
- as price rises, a worldwide fever develops and gains momentum, lifting demand
- supply was enormous at gold’s lowest prices with Central Bank and miner selling
- as price rises, hedge sale cashflow declines, money goes to cover forward contracts

- ironically, gold mining firms then become buyers on the world markets !!!


given their execs are financial whizzes from Wall Street, I would not be suprised if they doctored the financial reports so that hedgebook losses were hidden as decreased price received on delivered gold product
these Barrick guys are the scum of the gold industry

the curious part is the market reaction, taking down the gold miners
but gold metal POG has slipped back to #320
many still erroneously regard Barrick as a leading gold mine firm
I dont
it is still a hedge firm masquerading as a gold mine firm
and having a difficult time making the transition
the earnings show it
wait until the gold price really moves up

I will attend Barrick's funeral written in stone
just to piss on their grave
/ jim