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To: Mephisto who wrote (4534)9/27/2002 1:49:15 PM
From: Mephisto  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5185
 

Bush's Security Strategy


September 27, 2002

nytimes.com


To the Editor:


The Bush administration's new national security strategy (front page, Sept. 20),
despite its rejection of international cooperation, is the very
opposite of isolationism. It is a declaration of intent for global domination.

It abandons longstanding treaties and agreements on nonproliferation,
antiballistic missile defense, comprehensive nuclear test bans and
no-first-strike understandings. It announces that we will strike pre-emptively
and unilaterally against any nation that we define as a threat.

It declares that no other nation may attempt to equal our military strength:
we will "dissuade" it.
It proposes a global economic policy to
be administered by instruments we control, the International Monetary Fund
and the World Bank .


In sum, it asserts that American sovereignty trumps all other
national sovereignties - America über alles.

H. JACK GEIGER, M.D.
Brooklyn, Sept. 20, 2002
The writer is a founding member and former president, Physicians for Social Responsibility .


Copyright The New York Times Company



To: Mephisto who wrote (4534)9/28/2002 11:15:07 PM
From: Mephisto  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5185
 
IMF Ponders Crisis Prevention at Meeting
Sat Sep 28, 8:32 PM ET
dailynews.yahoo.com
By Mark Egan

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund ( news - web sites)
held the centerpiece of its annual meetings here on Saturday, and announced
changes aimed at making economic crises like those that have bedeviled
Argentina and Brazil less frequent, as 3,000 police kept protests subdued.

The global lender's policy-setting International
Monetary and Financial Committee, comprising
finance ministers from rich countries and the
developing world, met on Saturday to set the IMF's
agenda for the coming six months.

Top of the agenda was how best to shore up the
nascent global economic recovery, which has not
taken hold as quickly or as strongly as the IMF had
hoped just a few months ago. The IMF called on rich
nations to rebuild confidence shaken by plunging
stock markets, and urged Europe and Japan to
speed economic reforms to bolster their long-term
growth prospects.


"We meet here in Washington at a testing time for
the world economy, with 20 countries accounting for
half the world's output having been at some point in
the last year or this year in recession," Gordon
Brown, chairman of the IMFC and British finance
minister, said at a news briefing after the meeting.

"Aware ever more of our interdependence, we are now
more than ever aware that it is only by each country
taking necessary action that we shall secure the economic growth we wish to
see," Brown said at a news briefing.

Earlier at the meeting, U.S. Treasury Secretary O'Neill said, "North America
continues to be the engine of global recovery," and others must do more to
bolster prospects.

The IMFC called on Europe to reform labor and product markets and for Japan
to tackle its banking and corporate problems, where, "monetary easing should
help end deflation."

But with key Latin American nations embroiled in economic turmoil and others
there looking increasingly vulnerable, crisis prevention took center stage at the
meeting.

Meanwhile outside the meetings, peaceful protesters gathered. The rag-tag
bunch, who oppose everything from the World Bank ( news - web sites)'s
involvement in oil and gas projects to the need for more debt relief for poor
countries, numbered only a few thousand after police depleted their ranks with
more than 600 arrests in scattered street skirmishes on Friday.

The number of protesters paled in comparison to the crowds in April 2000, when
tens of thousands of anti-globalization demonstrators turned the streets near
the IMF's headquarters into something of a siege zone.

On Saturday the closest the thousands of protesters got to the IMF was a few
blocks away where they rallied for much of the afternoon, causing minor
disruption to city traffic.

BANKRUPTCY COURT


Perhaps the single most important development on Saturday was the IMFC
charging the IMF to come up with a plan by April to pave the way for setting up
some sort of international bankruptcy court to deal with what should happen if a
country defaults on its debts.

The IMFC told the IMF to, "develop for consideration ... a concrete proposal for
a statutory sovereign debt restructuring mechanism to be considered by the
membership."

The issue has been spurred by the economic collapse and subsequent default
of Argentina -- the former Wall Street darling and erstwhile poster child of IMF
reforms. And with Brazil hit by investor worries that a $250 billion debt default is
possible, there is finally agreement that something must be done to avoid a
repeat of the Argentine debacle.

The IMF hopes a new bankruptcy court will make the process of default more
predictable, less painful and eventually act as a steadying influence on
emerging market investors.

"This is part of an integrated process for better crisis prevention," IMF Managing
Director Horst Koehler said.

And, hoping to allay Wall Street opposition, he added, "This ... will not
undermine the credit culture in the global economy. It is a last resort."


The fund's approach complements another plan endorsed on Friday by the
Group of Seven industrialized nations -- the United States, Japan, Germany,
Britain, Canada, France and Italy. The G7 said on Friday all emerging market
bonds should now include so-called collective action clauses detailing what
should be done if a default occurs.

While rich countries support the approach of both collective action clauses and
an international bankruptcy court, not everyone agrees. The G24, a group of top
emerging market economies, said on Friday it was "open-minded" about the G7
plan but "skeptical" about the IMF's idea. Wall Street too opposes the IMF's
plans.

Mexico, a key emerging market because of its investment-grade credit rating,
opposes the IMF's approach. The nation is more open to collective-action
clauses, but Finance Minister Francisco Gil Diaz said on Saturday he doesn't
see, "either lenders or borrowers seriously considering them."

Nevertheless, the fund is convinced an international bankruptcy court will help
its broader crisis-prevention efforts to stop problems before they happen.

The discussion comes as Argentina's economy flounders in a state of collapse
after nine months of failed talks to restart aid. Meanwhile Brazil is mired in a
crisis of confidence ahead of October presidential elections, which prompted
the IMF to fork out a record $30 billion bailout earlier this month.


Koehler dismissed market fears that Brazil's crisis will end in a debt
restructuring, saying, "Brazil will come out of this situation without a debt
restructuring."


But even while the IMF showered Brazil with praise in recent days, its real
currency has plumbed new lows.

This latest summit has been notable for increased impatience about what
many, including the heads of the IMF and World Bank, view as the hypocrisy of
rich nations' trade policies and low aid levels.

Brown said there was now a "new deal for the world economy" where rich
nations would increase aid and investment in developing nations in return for
reforms there. But even as he made that statement, he urged donor nations to
come through "urgently" with $1 billion to keep an already-promised debt relief
plan for the world's poorest nations afloat.

Email Story
dailynews.yahoo.com



To: Mephisto who wrote (4534)9/30/2002 12:21:32 AM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 5185
 


Does the law of gravity
apply to the dollar?

Edmund L. Andrews The New York Times
Monday, September 30, 2002

iht.com

WASHINGTON After more than two decades
during which the United States bought and
consumed far more than it produced, has payback
time finally arrived?

A growing number of the bankers and finance
officials from around the world who gathered in
Washington over the weekend for the annual
meetings of the International Monetary Fund and
World Bank say it is near - and if it is not, they
suggest, then it should be.

"The current gaps between growth in real
domestic demand and real output cannot be
sustained indefinitely," the Fund warned in its
latest review of the world economy. The
imbalances in the U.S. economy, it said, are now
so big that they pose a "significant risk" to global
financial stability.


The U.S. economy has seemed to defy gravity for
years, running steadily bigger trade deficits
almost every year for the past two decades. Yet
because growth was so strong through most of the
1990s, the economy has also acted as a vacuum
cleaner, sucking in hundreds of billions of dollars
in foreign investment every year. The upshot has
been an impossible balancing act - a huge need
for foreign cash, yet an indefatigable domestic
currency - that has caused hand-wringing among
central bankers elsewhere who cannot believe the
United States keeps getting away with it.

The current-account deficit - the combination of
trade in goods and services and the balance of
income payments - totaled about $242.5 billion in
the first half and is on track to hit a record of
nearly $500 billion for the year.

According to the Fund, the United States now
absorbs about 6 percent of the world's savings to
finance its deficit. Japan, plagued by a stagnant
domestic economy, has been exporting about 1.5
percent of the world's savings, much of it to the
United States.

Economists at the Fund and elsewhere worry that
investors might abruptly sour on the dollar
because prices have simply become too high or
because they no longer believe the United States
can grow faster than the rest of the world.

"After the stock market bubble and the technology
bubble, the last obvious remaining bubble is the
dollar," said C. Fred Bergsten, director of the
Institute for International Economics in
Washington. A steep plunge in the dollar would
make foreign products more expensive in dollar
terms, choking off exports to the United States
and growth overseas. Exports to the United States
have been among the world's most important
sources of growth.


Bergsten says a collapse in the dollar remains
unlikely because the economic fundamentals of
the United States remain sound. But he argues
that a correction is inevitable and that the Bush
administration should act preemptively by
intervening in financial markets to nudge down
the dollar an additional 10 percent or 20 percent.

"The dollar did come down pretty steadily and in a
totally ordinary way in the first six months of this
year, and there was no adverse effect on inflation,"
he said. But since late July, the dollar has
climbed slightly.

U.S. manufacturers have been pleading for a
weaker dollar for years, saying the high dollar is
the main reason manufacturing exports have been
stagnant.

But Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill has insisted
that exchange rates be set by market forces, and
he has even argued that the current-account
deficit is an accounting abstraction that means
little in the real world of business.

If foreign money floods into the American market
and keeps the dollar high, he says, that reflects
only the comparative appeal of the United States
as an investment target. "What exactly are we
supposed to do about it?" one senior official asked.

Fund officials acknowledge the problem, noting
that the "ideal solution" to the imbalance would be
for Europe and Japan to speed up their own
desultory growth by making their markets more
flexible and open.

iht.com