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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Killswitch who wrote (14675)9/29/2002 5:46:50 PM
From: Killswitch  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
More evidence that major market participants are still too bullish and all leaning the wrong way.

""For one, Shiller's One-Year Confidence Index remains high, even after losing
some ground. Nearly 86 percent of individual and institutional investors see the
market rising in the next 12 months.
Investors Intelligence, which gauges the sentiment of investment newsletter
writers, reported this week that 42.2 percent are bullish while 34.9 percent are
bearish. It's a contrarian indicator - when bullishness is riding high it means
the market's in trouble and when bears rule the market's poised to take off.
While the bulls outnumber bears, bearishness should reach the high 50s as a sign
that a bottom may have been reached, said Michael Burke, editor of Investors
Intelligence. This year thus far, bears have outnumbered bulls only four weeks.
In 1994, a year when stocks went nowhere but turned out to precede five years of
a bull market, bears outnumbered bulls in all but four weeks of the year.
In the current bear market, bearishness has never risen above 50 percent, even
right after Sept. 11, Burke said."

cbs.marketwatch.com