To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (7584 ) 9/29/2002 11:42:41 AM From: Jim Willie CB Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467 there is little they can do to save JPMorgo, longterm but plenty shorterm and some nearterm shorterm is the PPTeam efforts that would purchase its stock directly, and even assume some of their disastrous hedgebook but as with most shorterm, try putting fingers in dikes and see if anything changes by tomorrow morning nearterm is the shotgun Citibank marriage, which would solidify Citi's death (after separation of Travelers unit) I doubt Citi's mgmt and shholders would tolerate it it is uncertain as to whether they will be somehow forced to what concerns me the most is what we dont hear what we arent aware on known weapons here is a tidbit that sheds light on Citi during this foreplay period feeling each other out when Brazil defaults, Citi is on the hook for $11B (biggest among USbanks) JPMorgo is on the hook for a large amount, but much less I think I recall the JPM exposure is about $3B Brazilian default will change the attractiveness of Citi by an unfortunate loss of two of her luscious breasts since JPMorgo is wellknown for milking assets dry via risky derivatives, those breasts will be shriveled and not much for eye appeal the lesson learned on past milk runs is that ChaseManhattan has been bled dry dead nada kaput any marriage will come as Citi endures flat tits from heavier losses, and suffers from a divorce with an estranged Traveler marriage that brought zero synergy on cross-sales I love to laugh at the SYNERGY stories !!! TWarner and AOL had none, only sucking dry Wellfleet and Synoptics (remember Cisco's top rival Wellfleet?) Compaq and HWP have none, only shared mktshare losses versus Dell WorldCom and MCI, enough said Quaker Oats and Snapple, laughter is heard Daimler Benz and Chrysler, get the barf bag Digital and Compaq, they needed pall bearers JPMorgo and Chase Manhattan had none, only an available capital base to exploit and kill the only synergy I have seen comes in the drug world with major pharmas sharing the expensive R&D and in the defense world with reducing the competition on DODefense bids when JPM's capital shortfall leads to the beginning of liquidation, the process will not be stoppable, whereby mgmt might lose control we saw no control with Enron, but they are not HQ'ed in NYCity Citibank shholders might soon seek court orders to stop any marriage the WILD CARD is Rubin/SandyW political ties, always uncertain fwiw, Jim