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To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (75362)9/29/2002 5:11:30 PM
From: Dave Gore  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 208838
 
Jorj, pardon me but I notice that I am being VERY specific and you very safe, pat, and vague...and inaccurate:

You said:
<"How did the telecom analysts know that the telecom industry was going to take a dump a year before it did...">

****

You are kidding, right? The telecom stocks had plummeting profits, prices, and problems before most analysts downgraded any of them. In fact they were UP-grading them!

Look at WCOM and the targets even late last year.

Dec 11 2001 UBS Warburg Initiated
Buy $20

Dec 4 2001 Banc of America Sec Initiated
Buy $19

Nov 27 2001 USB Piper Jaffray Initiated
Strong Buy


Nov 19 2001 Pacific Crest Initiated
Strong Buy


Nov 15 2001 Credit Lyonnais Sec Initiated
Buy $19

Nov 8 2001 SoundView Technology Initiated
Hold $16

Oct 29 2001 Lehman Brothers Upgrade Buy Strong Buy


Oct 26 2001 Dresdner Klnwrt Wass Reiterated
Add $15

Oct 26 2001 Robertson Stephens Reiterated
Strong Buy $19

Oct 26 2001 Merrill Lynch Upgrade NT Neutral NT Accum


Oct 25 2001 Thomas Weisel Reiterated
Strong Buy


Oct 25 2001 Kaufman Bros Reiterated
Strong Buy $27 $24

Oct 16 2001 Thomas Weisel Reiterated
Strong Buy


Oct 16 2001 Jefferies & Co Initiated
Hold


Sep 25 2001 Robertson Stephens Upgrade Buy Strong Buy
$19

Sep 24 2001 CIBC Wrld Mkts Upgrade Buy Strong Buy
$18

Sep 5 2001 Thomas Weisel Upgrade Buy Strong Buy


Aug 30 2001 Merrill Lynch Reiterated
NT Neutral


Jul 27 2001 Dresdner Klnwrt Wass Reiterated
Add $20

Jul 27 2001 Kaufman Bros Reiterated
Strong Buy $27

****



To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (75362)9/29/2002 5:15:16 PM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 208838
 
" Specious "....

now that was just the word I was looking for ...thanks!

;-)

PS: Is BRCM in single digits where it belongs ? hehe...



To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (75362)9/29/2002 5:21:07 PM
From: Dave Gore  Respond to of 208838
 
Jorj, shouldn't these analysts (of all people) have known problems were coming?

I mean, this one sector is their whole livelihood, their major focus 40-80 hours a week. That's why I question you telling me that people can predict prices by doing their homework. I mean, it seems that analysts, which you seem to support, are either all incompetent or dishonest.

And again (regarding ESST) - does it seem odd that shorts would attack the stock so suddenly and viciously 5-6 months in advance of any bad news, even when ESST beat earings by 30% and had margins increasing from 23% to 44%?

And then beat earnings again 3 months later with margins still very high? Again, I've never seen a 200% increase in a short postion (within a 30 day period) when the earnings turned out so incredbily strong for the next 2 quarters in a row (without margin degradation and channel stuffing).

Have you? It's really a simple question, I thought.