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To: B.REVERE who wrote (194942)	10/2/2002 11:39:22 PM
From: RJL	Respond to of 436258

"Orleans may be history in 12 hours" Not according to these guys. Let's hope. nhc.noaa.gov GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...BUT REMAINS VERY TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARD A LANDFALL OVER EASTERN VERMILLION BAY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT IT STILL KEEPS THE CENTER AND CORE OF LILI WELL TO THE WEST OF NEW ORLEANS...BUT UNFORTUNATELY TAKES THE CENTER JUST WEST OF BATON ROUGE AS A HURRICANE Sometimes, I'm glad I live way up here.

To: B.REVERE who wrote (194942)	10/3/2002 12:14:42 AM
From: XBrit	Respond to of 436258

Meantime, Tokyo is having a little break-9000 party... finance.yahoo.com^N225&d=c&k=c1&a=v&p=s&t=1d&l=on&z=m&q=l

To: B.REVERE who wrote (194942)	10/3/2002 2:08:52 AM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor	Respond to of 436258

The direction that Lily is approaching from is not the worst case scenario portrayed in that (quite excellent) piece. Moyers is a New Orleans native, BTW. nola.com As you can see, the eye wall is projected to move well west of the greater New Orleans area. The absolute scariest scenario for New Orleans is the monster storm that approaches from the east, where there are few if any natural coastal barriers left. The "refuge" idea is intriguing, but politically the city is too disorganized and too poorly led to get it done. A very scary scenario indeed!<NG>