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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (51801)	10/13/2002 7:27:57 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

I agree with the interpretation which says an Israeli majority supports the two state solution. I really had a different time frame in mind. Whatever the reason, there does appear to be another current, a growing one, that (a) does not wish to give up the settlements required by a two state solution and (b) wish, puzzling to me, to maintain an occupation of the West Bank and Gaza. The downward spiral then pushes these groups (I'm calling zealots) further into power. And because it seems to me the dynamic on the Palestinian side is much the same, it's a formula for a very long, very brutal conflict. Again, I hope you are right. Part of what fuels the current struggle is the Iranian/Syrian/Iraqi fueling of the Palestinian side; if that is stopped, the hope is that local Palestinian leadership that is interested in the welfare of local Palestinians can emerge. You're not reading about it anywhere, but it doesn't necessarily mean that the story isn't there. Again, let's hope. But there clearly is another story. We'll just have to see how the two stories work out in real time.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (51801)	10/14/2002 10:18:17 AM
From: carranza2	Respond to of 281500

I wonder if Hizbollah is going to commit suicide by setting off its missiles against Israel when the Iraq invasion begins? This is the fuse that might set off a broader conflict. If Assad stupidly comes to Hizbollah's assistance, and gets his dumb little head handed to him, will Iran intervene to help Hizbollah and/or Syria? Iran has a huge investment in Hizbollah so that's an imponderable that should be considered. The possibility of a broader conflict is also an exceedingly good reason to go into Iran with overwhelming force. It would be prudent to have something in reserve should things get dicey outside Iraq.