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To: goldsheet who wrote (90598)10/16/2002 4:11:38 AM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116912
 
FT.com
search.ft.com

WORLD NEWS: Iran sees large inflow of gold and capital
By Guy Dinmore in Tehran
Financial Times; Oct 15, 2002
Iran has experienced a net inflow of capital and gold bullion for the first time
since the 1979 Islamic revolution. It has been drawn by domestic investment
opportunities and driven by financial insecurity outside the country following
the September 11 attacks on the US.

Bankers say the amounts returning to Iran probably totalled several billion
dollars over the past year - although they are not on a scale comparable with
the outflow of Saudi capital from the US. Official figures have not been
disclosed.

The fear of collapsing stock markets is considerable but, more significantly, so
is the danger of private assets being frozen by a hostile US government that
has branded Iran as part of an "axis of evil".

That sense of insecurity, according to one banker, persuaded the Iranian
government to repatriate all or most of its gold bullion from the vaults of
central banks in Europe.

"They were worried that the post-September 11 world order had changed
and that it was safer to have the gold at home," he said. Iran's central bank,
has refused to comment.

According to official figures, Iran's gold is valued at around $2.5bn. Much of
that was deposited in the Bank of England, which also declined to comment.

Bankers suspect that tighter policing of money laundering in the west was also
a factor behind the return of some capital to Iran. This in turn has prompted
the government in Tehran to start drafting its own first law on money
laundering.

Bankers generally believe that the improving domestic investment climate,
fuelled in part by high oil prices, has acted as a powerful magnet for capital
that has long flowed in the opposite direction. The central bank has kept the
value of the rial steady against the dollar for the past two years, while
maintaining interest rates that yield an annual 17 per cent on bonds.

The inflow of capital has triggered a surge on Tehran's stock exchange - one
of the worlds best performing but most poorly regulated markets - and a
construction boom with soaring property prices.

The Tehran exchange saw its trading volume rise by 170 per cent in the six
months to September, while the all-share index rose 26 per cent.