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Politics : Sharks in the Septic Tank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (62715)10/16/2002 9:19:06 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 82486
 
Polling and personal identity

To a large extent, polling works. By taking a handful of demographic factors, one can predict patterns of affiliation, voting, and consumption to a remarkable degree. Indeed, the more narrow the cohort, generally, the more homogenous the results. There are exceptions (for example, Conservative Jews tend to vote about half and half, Democrat and Republican), but for the most part, narrow it down, and the predictive power increases immensely. And it is not even necessary to find people with virtually the same sociological profile, as long as they agree on a number of factors, for example, geographical background, class background, current socioeconomic status, educational level, educational concentration, ethnic make- up, religious background, current religious affiliation, etc. Obviously, there are quirks in personal histories, and I continue to believe in free- will resolving dilemmas. But it is clear that we are very much a product of our origins and histories. We are nothing if not imbedded in society.