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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (52364)10/16/2002 11:56:00 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The scenario that bothers me and which I can't see more than three or four stages into the future is one in which Israel's enemies, Hizbollah being the most likely aggressor, take advantage of the move against Iraq, provoking an Israeli response--perhaps a new invasion of S. Lebanon--that draws in Syria and maybe Iran when Hizbollah gets hammered.

According to Jeff Goldberg's article in the New Yorker, only the prospect of the American invasion of Iraq is holding off war between Hizbullah and Israel right now. He quoted one Israeli officer as saying "The day after America attacks, we can move."



To: carranza2 who wrote (52364)10/16/2002 12:10:44 PM
From: tekboy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
What do you think the chances are for a wider conflagration resulting from a move into Iraq?

possible but pretty unlikely. the scenarios one hears seem a bit far-fetched to me.

tb@gottarun.com