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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (197981)10/16/2002 6:26:01 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
Max Upside is 72 (I would guess) no time for too much of a ramp as it needs to be under 70 by Friday lest 34K calls go ITM. Would not want that to happen now would we.

Of course if things go TOTALLY ape sh*t, the pain ramp should stop at 75 where there is another 30K of calls.

Had this not been expiry I would have easily expected a ramp to 75. Does not seem to be much time for that.

Prediction: close at 67-68 on Friday.
We will see.
Sell the OCT 70 calls?

M



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (197981)10/16/2002 6:57:06 PM
From: GrillSgt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
IBM Q4 guidance revisited--Update--

Some confusion among analyst with respect to Q4 guidance from IBM and whether the company was indicating it would need the PwC Consulting contribution to be generally comfortable with Street estimates... here is the text of IBM's prepared remarks: "Looking to Q4, we will now begin to benefit from the added revenue from our enhanced Business Consulting Services. Most Street models have not yet taken this into account. After adjusting for that revenue and the earnings impact, I am generally comfortable with the range of expectations for our performance in Q4"... While this ambiguous comment could have been interpreted as a warning, IBM's stock is trading in a manner that suggests the market believes IBM is excluding PwC to make a clean comparison. IBM +5.25 at 70.15

briefing



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (197981)10/16/2002 7:00:48 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Crude oil inventories fell to an 18-month low last week, according to the latest data from the American Petroleum Institute. Inventories of crude oil fell 6.4 million barrels to 292 million barrels, a 4.1% decline from a year ago. Market estimates were for a decline of 600k barrels.
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