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Technology Stocks : Siebel Systems (SEBL) - strong buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mtnlady who wrote (6444)10/18/2002 1:08:01 PM
From: ynot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6974
 
sensible, both the observation and the approach
however
if sebl goes below $3, it may not despite my target ;)
you may want to re-consider the definition of a CRM gorilla
imho
regards,
ynot :)



To: mtnlady who wrote (6444)10/18/2002 2:41:17 PM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6974
 
mtnlady,

And if I can get SEBL at $1-2

I've never tried to predict how high or low a stock will go, but if SEBL gets that low I'll probably be a buyer. At 25% - 50% of the value of cash assets, it would be especially difficult for me to resist.

I think it's especially interesting that free cash flow from core operations -- for me, the best metric of profitability -- was exactly twice as much in Q3 as in the same period last year. For every dollar of sales, the company generated $0.15 in free cash flow, again almost twice as much as last year. In the first three quarters of this year, the company has generated 95% of the free cash flow it generated all of last year.

That's because capital expenditures have come nearly to a halt (only $6 million in Q3, consistently down each quarter from $92 million in Q1 last year). If the company can keep operating at this level of revenue with such low capital expenses, it will probably continue to be cash-flow positive.

--Mike Buckley